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St. Ursula, Toledo Arrows (11-6)

Region: OH D1 N/NWState: OHCoach: Paul Sieben

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02at Sylvania Club (5-2)OH Club N67.4W15- 3 0.000  
4/04vs. Westerville South # (2-8)OH D1 C66.8W16- 3 0.000  
4/04vs. Liberty, OH # (1-6)OH D1 C68.8W17- 5 0.025  
4/17at Tecumseh (10-8)MI DII62.6W23-11 0.000  
4/18vs. Dublin Coffman # (9-5)OH D1 C78.7L6- 7 -0.225  
4/18vs. Summit CDS # (10-10)OH D2 S73.4L7- 9 -0.350  
4/23at Notre Dame Acad, OH (6-10)OH D2 N/NW62.2W24- 3 0.000  
4/25LAKE CATHOLIC (7-6)OH D2 N/NW73.6W18- 7 0.075  
4/27at Perrysburg (7-5)OH D1 N/NW66.4W22- 5 0.000  
5/02at Okemos (25-0)MI DII78.6L8- 9 -0.150  
5/05at Ottawa Hills Club (5-4)OH Club N66.8W19-12 0.000  
5/07at Maumee Valley CDS (1-7)OH D2 N/NW60.1W20- 3 0.000  
5/09at Hawken School (12-6)OH D2 N/NW76.2L11-12ot-0.275  
5/09vs. Jackson, Massillon # (8-7)OH D1 N/NW75.4L9-10 -0.300  
5/14PERRYSBURG (7-5)OH D1 N/NW66.4W17- 6 0.000  
5/18at Westerville North (16-4)OH D1 C75.3W15-11 0.225  
5/21at Thomas Worthington (17-5)OH D1 C80.610L15-17 -0.125  
# Neutral site 69.5     -1.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02ASylvania Club15-312   12       2.09       -0.09
4/04NWesterville South16-313   12       0.00       0.76
4/04NLiberty, OH17-512   9       +0.00       2.69
4/17ATecumseh23-1112   12       1.75       -0.24
4/18NDublin Coffman6-7-1   -1       0.00       -0.19
4/18NSummit CDS7-9-2   4       –––0.00       -6.48
4/23ANotre Dame Acad, OH24-321   16       ++2.09       5.09
4/25HLake Catholic18-711   7       ++-2.09       4.44
4/27APerrysburg22-517   13       +2.09       3.92
5/02AOkemos8-9-1   -4       +1.75       2.72
5/05AOttawa Hills Club19-127   12       ––2.09       -4.65
5/07AMaumee Valley CDS20-317   16       2.09       0.64
5/09AHawken School11-12-1   1       –2.09       -2.09
5/09NJackson, Massillon9-10-1   2       –0.00       -3.03
5/14HPerrysburg17-611   17       –––-2.09       -6.27
5/18AWesterville North15-114   1       +2.09       2.64
5/21AThomas Worthington15-17-2   -5       +2.09       2.61
         0.002.48

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02ASylvania Club15-30.09
4/04NWesterville South16-3-0.76
4/04NLiberty, OH17-5-2.00
4/17ATecumseh23-110.24
4/23ANotre Dame Acad, OH24-3-5.09
4/25HLake Catholic18-7-1.00
4/27APerrysburg22-5-3.92
5/07AMaumee Valley CDS20-3-0.64
5/14HPerrysburg17-66.27
10-goal correction: -0.40

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 76.   Natl CCR Rank 567
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 76.63   Natl Power Rank 567
Natl SOS Rating 61.08   Natl SOS Rank 1223
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 2422
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 673
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.3



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