High School Computer Ratings

Severna Park Falcons (16-3)

Region: MD 4A-3A

State: MD

Coach: Carin Peterson

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/20	at Annapolis (14-3)	MD 3A-2A	88.7		W	10-	4	0.125
3/24	at North County (4-8)	MD 4A-3A	71.3		W	20-	1	0.000
3/27	NORTHEAST (3-12)	MD 3A-2A	69.9		W	20-	3	0.000
3/31	ARUNDEL (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	84.5		W	19-	5	0.000
4/07	at Chesapeake, AA County (7-8)	MD 4A-3A	81.3		W	21-	5	0.000
4/11	vs. Catonsville # (4-9)	MD 4A-3A	77.5		W	20-	3	0.000
4/14	SOUTHERN, ANNE ARUNDEL (5-8)	MD 2A-1A	73.8		W	19-	2	0.000
4/17	BROADNECK (14-2)	MD 4A-3A	92.0	5	L	9-	18	-0.350
4/18	vs. Severn School # (7-12)	MD IAAM A	88.5		L	6-	9	-0.375
4/21	GLEN BURNIE (3-11)	MD 4A-3A	68.7		W	18-	3	0.000
4/24	at Meade (0-12)	MD 4A-3A	64.8		W	19-	0	0.000
4/25	at Archbishop Spalding (9-12)	MD IAAM A	88.8		L	10-	13	-0.350
4/28	OLD MILL (5-11)	MD 4A-3A	71.8		W	19-	1	0.000
5/01	at South River (15-3)	MD 4A-3A	91.6	7	W	14-	5	0.200
5/09	HUNTINGTOWN (7-6)	MD 4A-3A	71.9		W	23-	1	0.000
5/11	at Broadneck (14-2)	MD 4A-3A	92.0	5	W	16-	9	0.200
5/13	SOUTH RIVER (15-3)	MD 4A-3A	91.6	7	W	12-	7	0.150
5/16	vs. Dulaney # (10-6)	MD 4A-3A	87.4		W	12-	5	0.075
5/19	vs. Westminster, MD # (16-2)	MD 4A-3A	93.4	3	W	7-	5	1.250
# Neutral site			82.7					0.92

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Annapolis	10-	4	6	5		0.90	0.77
3/24	A	North County	20-	1	19	18		0.90	0.53
3/27	H	Northeast	20-	3	17	20	–	-0.90	-2.77
3/31	H	Arundel	19-	5	14	13		-0.90	1.47
4/07	A	Chesapeake, AA County	21-	5	16	12	+	0.90	3.83
4/11	N	Catonsville	20-	3	17	14	+	0.00	2.89
4/14	H	Southern, Anne Arundel	19-	2	17	17		-0.90	0.26
4/17	H	Broadneck	9-	18	-9	4	–––	-0.90	-13.18
4/18	N	Severn School	6-	9	-3	5	–––	0.00		-8.12
4/21	H	Glen Burnie	18-	3	15	22	–––	-0.90	-7.11
4/24	A	Meade	19-	0	19	23	–	0.90	-3.61
4/25	A	Archbishop Spalding	10-	13	-3	4	–––	0.93		-6.84
4/28	H	Old Mill	19-	1	18	18		-0.90	0.49
5/01	A	South River	14-	5	9	2	+++	0.90	7.25
5/09	H	Huntingtown	23-	1	22	20		-0.90	1.65
5/11	A	Broadneck	16-	9	7	2	++	0.90	4.63
5/13	H	South River	12-	7	5	4		-0.90	1.45
5/16	N	Dulaney	12-	5	7	7		0.00	-0.22
5/19	N	Westminster, MD	7-	5	2	0		0.00	1.66
									0.00	-14.96