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Swartz Creek Dragons (6-12 - 2)

Region: MI DIIState: MICoach: Brian Gilbert

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/25at Clarkston (0-9)MI DI55.1-    
3/27at Hartland (8-10)MI DII60.8T7- 7 0.000  
3/30at Flushing Club (6-9)MI Club58.9L6-12 -0.200  
3/31HERITAGE CLUB, MI (1-3)MI Club55.0W16- 5 0.100  
4/01CATHOLIC CENTRAL (16-5)MI DII68.210L0-13 -0.075  
4/16at Grand Blanc (16-7)MI DI65.0L3- 7 -0.125  
4/18PCS UNITED (6-14)MI DI59.1W6- 5 0.200  
4/18FLUSHING CLUB (6-9)MI Club58.9L4- 7 -0.300  
4/18vs. Whitelake-Lakeland # (12-11)MI DI61.8L4- 9 -0.200  
4/20CLARKSTON (0-9)MI DI55.1-    
4/23HASLETT CLUB (5-9)MI Club59.1W6- 4 0.200  
4/25vs. Battle Creek # (11-7)MI Club64.2L0- 9 -0.125  
4/25vs. Okemos # (25-0)MI DII78.61L0-13 0.000  
4/25vs. Rockford # (21-4)MI DI72.73L2-15 0.000  
4/29WAVERLY-LC-GL UNITED (14-6)MI DI67.3L8- 9 -0.100  
5/05FLUSHING CLUB (6-9)MI Club58.9W12- 9 0.200  
5/06ANN ARBOR-HURON (3-9)MI DI61.0-    
5/08CARMAN-AINSWORTH (4-10)MI DII55.0W12- 3 0.025  
5/11at Lake Orion (6-11)MI DI58.2L7- 8 -0.275  
5/13GRAND BLANC (16-7)MI DI65.0L6-12 -0.175  
5/15at Haslett Club (5-9)MI Club59.1T4- 4 0.000  
5/19CLARKSTON (0-9)MI DI55.1W16- 7 0.050  
5/28vs. Flushing Club # (6-9)MI Club58.9L8-11 -0.250  
# Neutral site 62.5     -1.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27AHartland7-70   -3       +1.40       2.70
3/30AFlushing Club6-12-6   -2       2.20       -3.79
3/31HHeritage Club, MI16-511   6       ++-2.20       4.88
4/01HCatholic Central0-13-13   -7       ––-1.40       -5.98
4/16AGrand Blanc3-7-4   -5       1.40       1.50
4/18HPCS United6-51   2       -1.40       -1.14
4/18HFlushing Club4-7-3   2       ––-2.20       -5.20
4/18NWhitelake-Lakeland4-9-5   -2       0.00       -3.33
4/23HHaslett Club6-42   2       -2.20       0.03
4/25NBattle Creek0-9-9   -5       0.00       -3.74
4/25NOkemos0-13-13   -17       ++0.00       4.37
4/25NRockford2-15-13   -14       0.00       1.33
4/29HWaverly-LC-GL United8-9-1   -6       ++-1.40       4.71
5/05HFlushing Club12-93   2       -2.20       0.80
5/08HCarman-Ainsworth12-39   9       -1.40       -0.21
5/11ALake Orion7-8-1   1       1.40       -2.12
5/13HGrand Blanc6-12-6   -3       -1.40       -3.31
5/15AHaslett Club4-40   -2       +2.20       2.44
5/19HClarkston16-79   8       -1.40       1.48
5/28NFlushing Club8-11-3   0       0.00       -2.99
         0.00-7.57

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/31HHeritage Club, MI16-5-1.00
4/01HCatholic Central0-133.00
4/25NOkemos0-13-4.37
4/25NRockford2-15-1.33
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 59.   Natl CCR Rank 1940
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 58.91   Natl Power Rank 1940
Natl SOS Rating 51.63   Natl SOS Rank 1944
Natl Quality Win Rating -1.05   Natl Quality Win Rank 2413
W-L Pct Rating 0.35   W-L Pct Rank 1510
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 6-12   Ave Goal diff (all ) -2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -13.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.0



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