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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Topsail Pirates (1-10)

Region: NC SE

State: NC

Coach: Sandy Nixon

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/07	ATHENS DRIVE (8-9)	NC East	58.8		L	0-	9		0.000
3/10	ASHLEY (12-4)	NC SE	63.9		L	2-	15		0.000
3/13	HOGGARD (17-1)	NC SE	69.6	4	L	0-	15		0.000
3/17	at Ashley (12-4)	NC SE	63.9		L	0-	15		0.000
3/25	at New Hanover (4-9)	NC SE	57.4		L	12-	21		-0.100
3/27	LANEY (9-6)	NC SE	62.2		L	3-	15		0.000
3/28	at New Bern Club (2-7)	NC SE	52.0		L	1-	3		-0.250
4/15	CAPE FEAR ACADEMY (11-6)	NC SE	63.3		L	1-	21		0.000
4/17	NEW BERN CLUB (2-7)	NC SE	52.0		W	4-	1		0.225
4/18	CARY (5-10)	NC East	57.5		L	2-	14		-0.075
4/24	NEW HANOVER (4-9)	NC SE	57.4		L	10-	14		-0.150
			59.0						-0.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/07	H	Athens Drive	0-	9	-9	-11	+	-0.53	2.38
3/10	H	Ashley	2-	15	-13	-15	+	-0.53	2.31
3/13	H	Hoggard	0-	15	-15	-20	++	-0.53	5.09
3/17	A	Ashley	0-	15	-15	-16		0.53	1.36
3/25	A	New Hanover	12-	21	-9	-6	–	0.53	-3.49
3/27	H	Laney	3-	15	-12	-14		-0.53	1.96
3/28	A	New Bern Club	1-	3	-2	0		0.53	-1.99
4/15	H	Cape Fear Academy	1-	21	-20	-15	––	-0.53	-4.66
4/17	H	New Bern Club	4-	1	3	1		-0.53	1.96
4/18	H	Cary	2-	14	-12	-7	––	-0.53	-5.37
4/24	H	New Hanover	10-	14	-4	-4		-0.53	0.46
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	H	Ashley	2-	15	-2.31
3/13	H	Hoggard	0-	15	-5.09
3/17	A	Ashley	0-	15	-1.36
3/27	H	Laney	3-	15	-1.96
4/15	H	Cape Fear Academy	1-	21	4.66
4/18	H	Cary	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	52.		Natl CCR Rank	2247
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	51.75		Natl Power Rank	2247
Natl SOS Rating	47.67		Natl SOS Rank	2130
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	1857
W-L Pct Rating	0.09		W-L Pct Rank	2104
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3

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