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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Tully Black Knights (5-9)

Conference: B2

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Dennis Kennedy

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/03	at Jamesville-DeWitt (18-2)	NY C Sec 3	83.3	10	L	9-	15		-0.025
4/04	at LaFayette, NY (8-9)	NY C Sec 3	71.5			-
4/08	ONONDAGA (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	69.9			-
4/21	at Bishop Ludden (2-12)	NY C Sec 3	67.9		W	12-	8		0.150
4/23	at Cazenovia (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	85.9	7	L	2-	16		0.000
4/25	at Skaneateles (12-10)	NY C Sec 3	80.7		L	6-	17		0.000
4/27	at Manlius-Pebble Hill (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	66.9		W	14-	6		0.075
4/28	HOMER (1-15)	NY C Sec 3	68.5			-
4/29	at Westhill (17-3)	NY C Sec 3	89.2	4	L	4-	15		0.000
5/02	CHITTENANGO (7-10)	NY C Sec 3	71.2		W	7-	6		0.275
5/04	MARCELLUS (16-5)	NY C Sec 3	86.3	6	L	9-	17		0.000
5/05	at Jordan-Elbridge (11-7)	NY C Sec 3	77.9		L	2-	13		-0.025
5/07	MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	66.9		W	13-	4		0.050
5/11	at Onondaga (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	69.9		W	10-	9		0.250
5/13	LAFAYETTE, NY (8-9)	NY C Sec 3	71.5		L	10-	16		-0.250
5/14	vs. Christian Brothers, NY # (10-7)	NY C Sec 3	78.2		L	9-	20		-0.050
5/22	BISHOP LUDDEN (2-12)	NY C Sec 3	67.9			-
5/27	at Skaneateles (12-10)	NY C Sec 3	80.7		L	7-	15		0.000
# Neutral site			83.0						0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	9-	15	-6	-9	+	0.74	3.39
4/21	A	Bishop Ludden	12-	8	4	4		0.74	-0.12
4/23	A	Cazenovia	2-	16	-14	-11	–	0.74	-2.79
4/25	A	Skaneateles	6-	17	-11	-11		0.74	-0.24
4/27	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	14-	6	8	7		0.74	1.33
4/29	A	Westhill	4-	15	-11	-13		0.74	1.80
5/02	H	Chittenango	7-	6	1	-1		-0.74	1.69
5/04	H	Marcellus	9-	17	-8	-10	+	-0.74	2.01
5/05	A	Jordan-Elbridge	2-	13	-11	-9	–	0.74	-2.25
5/07	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	13-	4	9	8		-0.74	0.85
5/11	A	Onondaga	10-	9	1	0		0.74	0.66
5/13	H	LaFayette, NY	10-	16	-6	0	–––	-0.74	-6.15
5/14	N	Christian Brothers, NY	9-	20	-11	-8	–	0.00	-2.94
5/27	A	Skaneateles	7-	15	-8	-11	+	0.74	2.76
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Cazenovia	2-	16	2.79
4/25	A	Skaneateles	6-	17	0.24
4/29	A	Westhill	4-	15	-1.80
5/05	A	Jordan-Elbridge	2-	13	1.00
5/14	N	Christian Brothers, NY	9-	20	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.23

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	71.		Natl CCR Rank	964
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	70.89		Natl Power Rank	964
Natl SOS Rating	83.64		Natl SOS Rank	131
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	530
W-L Pct Rating	0.36		W-L Pct Rank	1493
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.3

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