High School Computer Ratings

Valley Center Jaguars (14-8 - 1)

Region: CA Avocado

State: CA

Coach: Victoria Bausone

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/16	at Great Oak (4-7)	CA Indep	61.8		W	16-	2		0.025
3/18	at Granite Hills (3-18)	CA Grosmnt	60.0		W	18-	1		0.050
3/21	vs. Carlsbad # (12-12)	CA Palomar	74.3	9	L	7-	9		-0.175
3/21	vs. Bishop's School # (16-6)	CA Coastal	75.1	8	W	10-	8		0.300
3/21	vs. El Toro # (14-6)	CA SeaView	74.5		T	4-	4		0.000
3/21	vs. Tesoro # (18-6)	CA S Coast	73.7		L	6-	10		-0.200
3/21	vs. Canyon Crest Academy # (14-7)	CA Coastal	73.8		W	9-	5		0.275
3/26	RANCHO BERNARDO (16-6)	CA Palomar	78.5	4	L	4-	11		-0.125
3/30	POWAY (12-12)	CA Palomar	75.7	7	L	9-	11		-0.150
4/01	SANTA FE CHRISTIAN (13-9)	CA Coastal	73.7		L	8-	9		-0.275
4/15	at Ramona (1-13)	CA Avocado	50.4		W	18-	1		0.000
4/20	SAN MARCOS (3-9)	CA Avocado	53.8		W	19-	1		0.000
4/22	FALLBROOK (2-11)	CA Avocado	52.4		W	17-	0		0.000
4/25	HELIX CHARTER (11-8)	CA Grosmnt	69.1		W	10-	9		0.125
4/28	at Mt. Carmel, CA (13-5)	CA Avocado	72.5		L	5-	9		-0.250
4/29	RAMONA (1-13)	CA Avocado	50.4		W	10-	2		0.000
5/01	at Mission Hills (6-12)	CA Avocado	60.1		W	14-	4		0.000
5/04	at Fallbrook (2-11)	CA Avocado	52.4		W	16-	2		0.000
5/07	at San Marcos (3-9)	CA Avocado	53.8		W	16-	1		0.000
5/11	MISSION HILLS (6-12)	CA Avocado	60.1		W	15-	4		0.000
5/13	MT. CARMEL, CA (13-5)	CA Avocado	72.5		W	11-	10	ot	0.200
5/18	SANTANA (15-5)	CA Grosmnt	73.8	10	L	8-	9		-0.275
5/22	at Coronado (22-4)	CA City	81.1	2	L	11-	19		-0.050
# Neutral site			68.1						-0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/16	A	Great Oak	16-	2	14	9	++	1.05		5.18
3/18	A	Granite Hills	18-	1	17	8	+++	0.95	8.64
3/21	N	Carlsbad	7-	9	-2	-3		0.00	0.77
3/21	N	Bishop's School	10-	8	2	-2	++	0.00	4.18
3/21	N	El Toro	4-	4	0	-3	+	0.00		2.77
3/21	N	Tesoro	6-	10	-4	-2	–	0.00		-2.03
3/21	N	Canyon Crest Academy	9-	5	4	-1	++	0.00	4.53
3/26	H	Rancho Bernardo	4-	11	-7	-5		-0.95	-1.96
3/30	H	Poway	9-	11	-2	-4		-0.95	1.67
4/01	H	Santa Fe Christian	8-	9	-1	1		-0.95	-1.80
4/15	A	Ramona	18-	1	17	15	+	0.95	2.26
4/20	H	San Marcos	19-	1	18	16		-0.95	1.65
4/22	H	Fallbrook	17-	0	17	16		-0.95	0.86
4/25	H	Helix Charter	10-	9	1	5	–	-0.95	-3.89
4/28	A	Mt. Carmel, CA	5-	9	-4	0	––	0.95	-4.35
4/29	H	Ramona	10-	2	8	17	–––	-0.95	-8.65
5/01	A	Mission Hills	14-	4	10	10		0.95	0.15
5/04	A	Fallbrook	16-	2	14	14		0.95	-0.23
5/07	A	San Marcos	16-	1	15	14		0.95	0.56
5/11	H	Mission Hills	15-	4	11	12		-0.95	-0.76
5/13	H	Mt. Carmel, CA	11-	10	1	2		-0.95	-1.26
5/18	H	Santana	8-	9	-1	1		-0.95	-1.98
5/22	A	Coronado	11-	19	-8	-8		0.95	-0.39
									0.00	5.92