| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: M. Michaels |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/05 | A | Chapel Hill | 9- | 13 | -4 | -3 | | 0.53 | -0.91 | |
3/06 | H | Cary | 17- | 2 | 15 | 12 | + | -0.53 | 3.12 | |
3/10 | A | Enloe | 21- | 12 | 9 | 1 | +++ | 0.53 | 7.72 | |
3/17 | A | Holly Springs | 13- | 3 | 10 | 15 | | 0.53 | -5.12 | |
3/19 | A | East Chapel Hill | 12- | 14 | -2 | -4 | + | 0.53 | 2.34 | |
3/24 | A | Green Hope | 15- | 13 | 2 | -1 | + | 0.53 | 2.65 | |
3/26 | H | Cardinal Gibbons, NC | 13- | 6 | 7 | 7 | | -0.53 | -0.08 | |
3/31 | H | Middle Creek | 15- | 2 | 13 | 13 | | -0.53 | 0.00 | |
4/14 | H | Panther Creek | 12- | 1 | 11 | 12 | | -0.53 | -0.90 | |
4/17 | A | Laney | 10- | 4 | 6 | 4 | + | 0.53 | 2.49 | |
4/18 | A | Hoggard | 8- | 13 | -5 | -3 | | 0.53 | -2.38 | |
4/20 | A | Athens Drive | 17- | 15 | 2 | 6 | | 0.53 | -4.09 | |
4/21 | H | Apex | 9- | 22 | -13 | -9 | | -0.53 | -4.43 | |
4/24 | H | Broughton | 14- | 8 | 6 | 5 | | -0.53 | 0.74 | |
4/27 | H | Carrboro | 17- | 8 | 9 | 7 | | -0.53 | 1.51 | |
5/05 | A | East Chapel Hill | 9- | 16 | -7 | -4 | | 0.53 | -2.66 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/06 | H | Cary | 17- | 2 | -3.12 |
3/17 | A | Holly Springs | 13- | 3 | 5.12 |
3/31 | H | Middle Creek | 15- | 2 | 0.00 |
4/14 | H | Panther Creek | 12- | 1 | 0.90 |
4/21 | H | Apex | 9- | 22 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.37 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 66. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1460 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 65.75 | | Natl Power Rank | 1460 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 52.77 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1879 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.35 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 628 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.69 | | W-L Pct Rank | 559 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 2.7 |
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