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Ward Melville Patriots (9-10)

Conference: L1Region: NY A Sec 11State: NYCoach: Erin Blaney

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27SAYVILLE (16-4)NY B Sec 1189.74L13-21 -0.175  
4/06at Yorktown, NY (20-1)NY B Sec 192.8L10-16 0.000  
4/08at William Floyd (11-7)NY A Sec 1182.7W16-15ot0.175  
4/14EAST ISLIP (4-13)NY A Sec 1175.6W16-10 0.075  
4/17at Manhasset (15-4)NY C Sec 892.9L10-16 0.000  
4/20HALF HOLLOW HILLS (8-9)NY A Sec 1176.3W19- 4 0.050  
4/22at Lindenhurst (12-7)NY A Sec 1182.6W17- 6 0.200  
4/24at West Islip (16-4)NY A Sec 1189.25L5-17 -0.150  
4/28SMITHTOWN EAST (11-7)NY A Sec 1183.8W24-14 0.200  
4/30NORTHPORT (20-1)NY A Sec 1195.12L13-19 -0.075  
5/01at Sachem North (7-10)NY A Sec 1176.8W13- 7 0.125  
5/04BAY SHORE (14-5)NY A Sec 1188.17L12-14 -0.225  
5/06at Sachem East (5-10)NY A Sec 1173.9W17-11 0.075  
5/08COMMACK (14-5)NY A Sec 1184.1L14-15 -0.325  
5/12WALT WHITMAN, NY (5-11)NY A Sec 1169.9W19- 8 0.000  
5/14at North Babylon (10-7)NY A Sec 1181.5L10-12 -0.275  
5/19at West Babylon (13-6)NY A Sec 1187.78L6-18 -0.150  
5/22WILLIAM FLOYD (11-7)NY A Sec 1182.7W26- 7 0.100  
5/28at West Islip (16-4)NY A Sec 1189.25L12-22 -0.150  
 85.9     -0.52  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HSayville13-21-8   -3       ––-1.20       -5.37
4/06AYorktown, NY10-16-6   -11       ++1.39       5.23
4/08AWilliam Floyd16-151   3       –1.20       -2.13
4/14HEast Islip16-106   7       -1.20       -1.02
4/17AManhasset10-16-6   -11       ++0.79       4.69
4/20HHalf Hollow Hills19-415   8       +++-1.20       7.13
4/22ALindenhurst17-611   2       +++1.20       9.02
4/24AWest Islip5-17-12   -4       –––1.20       -7.51
4/28HSmithtown East24-1410   2       +++-1.20       8.11
4/30HNorthport13-19-6   -7       -1.20       1.07
5/01ASachem North13-76   5       1.20       1.14
5/04HBay Shore12-14-2   -1       -1.20       -0.76
5/06ASachem East17-116   7       1.20       -1.14
5/08HCommack14-15-1   3       –-1.20       -3.89
5/12HWalt Whitman, NY19-811   12       -1.20       -1.20
5/14ANorth Babylon10-12-2   1       –1.20       -3.21
5/19AWest Babylon6-18-12   -4       –––1.20       -8.21
5/22HWilliam Floyd26-719   6       +++-1.20       13.47
5/28AWest Islip12-22-10   -4       ––1.20       -5.51
         0.009.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/20HHalf Hollow Hills19-4-5.00
4/22ALindenhurst17-6-1.00
4/24AWest Islip5-172.00
4/28HSmithtown East24-140.00
5/12HWalt Whitman, NY19-81.20
5/19AWest Babylon6-182.00
5/22HWilliam Floyd26-7-9.00
5/28AWest Islip12-220.00
10-goal correction: -0.52

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 215
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.97   Natl Power Rank 213
Natl SOS Rating 89.28   Natl SOS Rank 55
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.52   Natl Quality Win Rank 2079
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1143
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 9-10   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-6   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -8.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.0



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