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West Genesee Wildcats (21-2)

Conference: A1Region: NY A Sec 3State: NYCoach: Bob Elmer

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/26SKANEATELES (12-10)NY C Sec 380.7W15- 5 0.050  
4/01HONEOYE FALLS-LIMA (19-3)NY C Sec 593.8W10- 7 0.125  
4/04LIVERPOOL (9-10)NY A Sec 381.4W13- 4 0.050  
4/07FAYETTEVILLE-MANLIUS (10-9)NY A Sec 386.55W12- 7 0.100  
4/09vs. Baldwinsville # (19-2)NY A Sec 396.12L8- 9 -0.250  
4/14vs. Liverpool # (9-10)NY A Sec 381.4W16- 8 0.075  
4/16CARTHAGE (21-4)NY C Sec 393.23W17-11 0.200  
4/18MT. HEBRON (16-4)MD 3A-2A91.4W11- 8 0.075  
4/21HENNINGER-NOTTINGHAM (1-12)NY A Sec 368.9W21- 1 0.000  
4/23at Corcoran-Fowler (8-10)NY A Sec 374.4W21- 1 0.000  
4/28at Oswego (10-8)NY A Sec 377.6W16- 8 0.025  
5/01at Canandaigua Academy (20-3)NY B Sec 595.2W13-11 0.225  
5/05AUBURN (10-7)NY A Sec 379.8W14- 4 0.000  
5/07at Central Square (3-13)NY A Sec 369.1W15- 4 0.000  
5/12ROME FREE ACADEMY (5-11)NY A Sec 369.9W20- 4 0.000  
5/14at Fayetteville-Manlius (10-9)NY A Sec 386.55W12- 4 0.150  
5/19BALDWINSVILLE (19-2)NY A Sec 396.12W10- 7 0.225  
5/22at Cicero-North Syracuse (10-8)NY A Sec 384.39W15-13 0.125  
5/27CORCORAN-FOWLER (8-10)NY A Sec 374.4W18- 3 0.000  
5/30vs. Fayetteville-Manlius # (10-9)NY A Sec 386.55W11- 9 0.125  
6/02vs. Baldwinsville # (19-2)NY A Sec 396.12W9- 8ot0.250  
6/04at Ithaca (14-5)NY A Sec 488.0W17- 7 0.025  
6/12vs. Farmingdale # (17-0)NY A Sec 898.1L9-10ot-0.250  
# Neutral site 90.0     1.33  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/26HSkaneateles15-510   8       +-0.74       2.02
4/01HHoneoye Falls-Lima10-73   5       -1.03       -1.92
4/04HLiverpool13-49   8       -0.74       1.01
4/07HFayetteville-Manlius12-75   6       -0.74       -0.51
4/09NBaldwinsville8-9-1   0       0.00       -0.86
4/14NLiverpool16-88   7       0.00       0.75
4/16HCarthage17-116   2       ++-0.74       4.43
4/18HMt. Hebron11-83   7       ––-0.82       -4.13
4/21HHenninger-Nottingham21-120   21       -0.74       -1.13
4/23ACorcoran-Fowler21-120   14       ++0.74       5.69
4/28AOswego16-88   9       0.74       -0.92
5/01ACanandaigua Academy13-112   1       1.03       0.53
5/05HAuburn14-410   10       -0.74       -0.26
5/07ACentral Square15-411   19       –––0.74       -7.56
5/12HRome Free Academy20-416   20       –-0.74       -3.75
5/14AFayetteville-Manlius12-48   4       +0.74       3.97
5/19HBaldwinsville10-73   1       +-0.74       2.40
5/22ACicero-North Syracuse15-132   5       –0.74       -2.86
5/27HCorcoran-Fowler18-315   16       -0.74       -0.79
5/30NFayetteville-Manlius11-92   5       –0.00       -2.77
6/02NBaldwinsville9-81   0       0.00       1.14
6/04AIthaca17-710   9       0.59       0.89
6/12NFarmingdale9-10-1   0       0.00       -0.60
         0.00-5.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26HSkaneateles15-50.00
4/21HHenninger-Nottingham21-11.13
4/23ACorcoran-Fowler21-1-5.69
5/05HAuburn14-40.26
5/07ACentral Square15-47.56
5/12HRome Free Academy20-43.74
5/27HCorcoran-Fowler18-30.79
6/04AIthaca17-70.00
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 3
Natl Poll Vote 100.   Natl Poll Rank 3
Natl Power Rating 97.70   Natl Power Rank 3
Natl SOS Rating 97.88   Natl SOS Rank 3
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.33   Natl Quality Win Rank 91
W-L Pct Rating 0.91   W-L Pct Rank 67
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 21-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 7.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 6-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 3.4
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 14-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 7.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 3.3



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