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West Essex Knights (18-4)

Region: NJ Group 2State: NJCoach: Jill Cosse

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/01at Morristown (4-10)NJ Group 379.4W19- 9 0.000  
4/06at Livingston (4-12)NJ Group 474.6W16- 1 0.000  
4/11WEST MORRIS CENTRAL (8-10)NJ Group 381.8W16- 2 0.075  
4/13MOUNTAIN LAKES (18-5)NJ Group 189.36L9-10 -0.300  
4/14at Roxbury (12-8)NJ Group 381.3W13- 7 0.075  
4/16MORRIS KNOLLS (11-8)NJ Group 381.8W18- 4 0.050  
4/19NEWARK ACADEMY, NJ (0-17)NJ Group 170.1W17- 3 0.000  
4/20at Mendham (19-1)NJ Group 392.52L4-12 -0.125  
4/22at Chatham (15-4)NJ Group 287.1W13- 5 0.250  
4/24COLUMBIA, NJ (10-8)NJ Group 482.0W16-11 0.075  
4/28at Summit, NJ (19-4)NJ Group 288.28L8-15 -0.200  
4/30MT. OLIVE (4-13)NJ Group 374.1W14- 3 0.000  
5/03GLEN RIDGE (13-5)NJ Group 185.2W16- 7 0.150  
5/06MORRIS HILLS (1-15)NJ Group 268.3W13- 0 0.000  
5/09at Oak Knoll School (14-4)NJ Group 187.4W18-10 0.200  
5/11RANDOLPH, NJ (6-10)NJ Group 479.3W13- 0 0.000  
5/17MONTCLAIR HS (11-9)NJ Group 481.8W9- 5 0.050  
5/18RAMAPO (11-7)NJ Group 381.5W17- 3 0.025  
5/21at Mendham (19-1)NJ Group 392.52W12-10 0.375  
5/27at Summit, NJ (19-4)NJ Group 288.28W10- 8 0.300  
5/29vs. Hopewell Valley # (18-4)NJ Group 287.7W12-10 1.250  
6/02vs. Mountain Lakes # (18-5)NJ Group 189.36L9-18 -0.250  
# Neutral site 83.8     2.00  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/01AMorristown19-910   10       1.47       0.49
4/06ALivingston16-115   16       1.47       -1.28
4/11HWest Morris Central16-214   7       +++-1.47       6.73
4/13HMountain Lakes9-10-1   2       -1.47       -2.73
4/14ARoxbury13-76   7       1.47       -1.00
4/16HMorris Knolls18-414   8       ++-1.47       5.68
4/19HNewark Academy, NJ17-314   20       ––-1.47       -5.62
4/20AMendham4-12-8   -5       1.47       -3.06
4/22AChatham13-58   0       +++1.47       7.83
4/24HColumbia, NJ16-115   7       -1.47       -1.92
4/28ASummit, NJ8-15-7   -2       ––1.47       -5.09
4/30HMt. Olive14-311   18       –––-1.47       -6.74
5/03HGlen Ridge16-79   4       ++-1.47       4.81
5/06HMorris Hills13-013   22       –––-1.47       -8.72
5/09AOak Knoll School18-108   2       +++1.47       6.06
5/11HRandolph, NJ13-013   13       -1.47       0.14
5/17HMontclair HS9-54   8       ––-1.47       -4.26
5/18HRamapo17-314   9       ++-1.47       5.17
5/21AMendham12-102   -5       +++1.47       6.94
5/27ASummit, NJ10-82   -2       +1.47       3.91
5/29NHopewell Valley12-102   0       0.00       1.90
6/02NMountain Lakes9-18-9   0       –––0.00       -9.26
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/01AMorristown19-9-0.49
4/06ALivingston16-11.28
4/11HWest Morris Central16-2-4.00
4/16HMorris Knolls18-4-4.00
4/19HNewark Academy, NJ17-35.62
4/30HMt. Olive14-36.74
5/06HMorris Hills13-08.72
5/11HRandolph, NJ13-0-0.14
5/18HRamapo17-3-4.00
10-goal correction: 0.44

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 186.   Natl CCR Rank 39
Natl Poll Vote 96.   Natl Poll Rank 53
Natl Power Rating 89.83   Natl Power Rank 44
Natl SOS Rating 85.33   Natl SOS Rank 102
Natl Quality Win Rating 2.00   Natl Quality Win Rank 32
W-L Pct Rating 0.82   W-L Pct Rank 206
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 5-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.7



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