High School Computer Ratings

Winters Mill Falcons (13-5)

Region: MD 3A-2A

State: MD

Coach: Mike Harrsion

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/23	at Walkersville (8-6)	MD 3A-2A	71.9		W	19-	2	0.000
3/31	at Century, MD (15-1)	MD 2A-1A	94.2	1	L	12-	13	-0.075
4/02	MIDDLETOWN, MD (10-4)	MD 3A-2A	77.9		W	18-	2	0.000
4/06	SOUTH CARROLL (7-7)	MD 2A-1A	83.9		W	16-	6	0.125
4/07	at North Hagerstown (3-10)	MD 3A-2A	60.8		W	19-	0	0.000
4/13	vs. McDonogh School # (19-1)	MD IAAM A	97.8		L	3-	15	-0.050
4/17	MOUNT DE SALES (8-11)	MD IAAM A	88.1		W	14-	11	0.200
4/18	GLENELG HS (12-5)	MD 2A-1A	87.3		W	14-	11	0.175
4/22	FRANCIS SCOTT KEY (5-9)	MD 3A-2A	69.7		W	17-	3	0.000
4/24	at South Hagerstown (1-11)	MD 3A-2A	55.3		W	19-	0	0.000
4/27	at Westminster, MD (16-2)	MD 4A-3A	93.4	3	L	9-	23	-0.100
4/28	LIBERTY, MD (13-2)	MD 2A-1A	91.8	6	L	9-	10	-0.200
4/30	NORTH CARROLL (10-5)	MD 4A-3A	88.3		W	16-	11	0.225
5/07	vs. Frederick # (2-10)	MD 3A-2A	60.9		W	18-	0	0.000
5/09	vs. Tuscarora # (2-10)	MD 3A-2A	63.1		W	19-	0	0.000
5/11	at Middletown, MD (10-4)	MD 3A-2A	77.9		W	22-	8	0.025
5/13	at Damascus (7-3)	MD 3A-2A	76.9		W	19-	8	0.000
5/15	vs. Fallston # (17-2)	MD 3A-2A	93.0	4	L	11-	13	-0.150
# Neutral site			80.4					0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Walkersville	19-	2	17	11	+++	0.90	6.01
3/31	A	Century, MD	12-	13	-1	-7	++	0.90	5.80
4/02	H	Middletown, MD	18-	2	16	11	++	-0.90	5.39
4/06	H	South Carroll	16-	6	10	5	++	-0.90	4.56
4/07	A	North Hagerstown	19-	0	19	24	––	0.90	-4.86
4/13	N	McDonogh School	3-	15	-12	-8	–	0.00		-3.53
4/17	H	Mount de Sales	14-	11	3	2		-0.93		0.76
4/18	H	Glenelg HS	14-	11	3	3		-0.90	0.37
4/22	H	Francis Scott Key	17-	3	14	15		-0.90	-1.05
4/24	A	South Hagerstown	19-	0	19	30	–––	0.90	-11.44
4/27	A	Westminster, MD	9-	23	-14	-6	–––	0.90	-7.55
4/28	H	Liberty, MD	9-	10	-1	-2		-0.90	0.86
4/30	H	North Carroll	16-	11	5	1	++	-0.90	4.03
5/07	N	Frederick	18-	0	18	25	–––	0.00	-6.79
5/09	N	Tuscarora	19-	0	19	22	–	0.00	-3.46
5/11	A	Middletown, MD	22-	8	14	9	++	0.90	5.19
5/13	A	Damascus	19-	8	11	10		0.90	1.22
5/15	N	Fallston	11-	13	-2	-4		0.00	1.72
									0.00	-2.77