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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Winchester Thurston (0-10)

Region: PA WP D2-1

State: PA

Coach: Adriane LaRussa

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/01	ELLIS SCHOOL (3-11)	PA WP D2-2	66.7		L	7-	15		-0.175
4/08	OAKLAND CATHOLIC, PA (7-7)	PA WP D1-2	71.4		L	9-	11		0.000
4/15	at Knoch (6-11)	PA WP D2-2	67.7		L	6-	10		-0.075
4/17	at McDowell (6-12)	PA WP D2-2	67.0			-
4/21	CHARTIERS VALLEY (2-10)	PA WP D2-1	66.4			-
4/23	at Quaker Valley (17-2)	PA WP D2-1	75.6	2	L	6-	21		0.000
4/27	NORTH HILLS (10-5)	PA WP D2-2	70.9		L	4-	20		-0.025
4/28	BETHEL PARK (6-10)	PA WP D2-1	67.9		L	4-	8		-0.150
4/30	at Greensburg Salem (0-10)	PA WP D2-1	63.4			-
5/04	SETON-LA SALLE (14-5)	PA WP D2-1	72.9	8	L	2-	17		0.000
5/07	at Yough (7-9)	PA WP D2-1	68.3		L	7-	15		-0.050
5/08	at McDowell (6-12)	PA WP D2-2	67.0		L	8-	11		-0.125
5/12	GREENSBURG CENTRAL CAT (10-5)	PA WP D2-1	69.3		L	13-	15		-0.175
			65.2						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Ellis School	7-	15	-8	-3	––	-1.63	-5.26
4/08	H	Oakland Catholic, PA	9-	11	-2	-10	+++	-1.63	7.60
4/15	A	Knoch	6-	10	-4	-7	+	1.63	2.85
4/23	A	Quaker Valley	6-	21	-15	-17	+	1.63	2.23
4/27	H	North Hills	4-	20	-16	-9	–––	-1.63	-7.34
4/28	H	Bethel Park	4-	8	-4	-4		-1.63	0.00
5/04	H	Seton-La Salle	2-	17	-15	-12	–	-1.63	-2.57
5/07	A	Yough	7-	15	-8	-8		1.63	-0.09
5/08	A	McDowell	8-	11	-3	-5	+	1.63	2.01
5/12	H	Greensburg Central Cat	13-	15	-2	-3		-1.63	0.57
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/23	A	Quaker Valley	6-	21	-2.23
4/27	H	North Hills	4-	20	6.00
5/04	H	Seton-La Salle	2-	17	2.57
10-goal correction: 0.63

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1585
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.35		Natl Power Rank	1585
Natl SOS Rating	54.78		Natl SOS Rank	1747
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2300
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2348
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3

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