High School Computer Ratings

Winter Springs Bears (15-5)

Region: FL Dist 3

State: FL

Coach: Steve Efland

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
2/11	WINTER PARK (8-9)	FL Dist 6	69.3		W	16-	3		0.000
2/13	VERO BEACH (22-1)	FL Dist 8	88.5	1	L	3-	11		0.000
2/18	HAGERTY (7-8)	FL Dist 3	68.5		W	16-	0		0.000
2/20	at Park Vista (16-4)	FL Dist 10	79.1	3	L	6-	15		-0.150
2/25	LAKE BRANTLEY (16-5)	FL Dist 4	79.5	2	W	13-	11		0.250
2/27	LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (10-8)	FL Dist 6	70.6		W	15-	7		0.025
3/06	OVIEDO (15-5)	FL Dist 3	76.0	7	L	13-	14		-0.375
3/11	at Bishop Moore (6-10)	FL Dist 5	68.3		W	20-	6		0.025
3/13	LAKE MARY (13-5)	FL Dist 4	77.1	5	W	13-	12	ot	0.200
3/18	at Lake Howell (9-6)	FL Dist 3	72.1		W	13-	9		0.150
3/20	LYMAN (2-11)	FL Dist 4	65.7		W	21-	4		0.000
3/23	at Lake Mary (13-5)	FL Dist 4	77.1	5	L	9-	10	ot	-0.200
3/25	at Sanford Seminole (2-12)	FL Dist 3	64.5		W	19-	1		0.000
3/27	at St. Edward's (11-5)	FL Dist 8	71.0		W	19-	10		0.100
4/01	TIMBER CREEK (14-5)	FL Dist 6	73.6	9	W	15-	14		0.125
4/03	OLYMPIA (16-4)	FL Dist 5	76.3	6	W	11-	9		0.175
4/06	vs. Lake Howell # (9-6)	FL Dist 3	72.1		W	17-	8		0.100
4/07	vs. Oviedo # (15-5)	FL Dist 3	76.0	7	W	16-	11		0.175
4/17	at Bartram Trail (15-5)	FL Dist 2	74.7	8	W	14-	13		0.200
4/24	vs. Lake Brantley # (16-5)	FL Dist 4	79.5	2	L	8-	9		-0.200
# Neutral site			71.3						0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/11	H	Winter Park	16-	3	13	11		-1.79	1.54
2/13	H	Vero Beach	3-	11	-8	-11	+	-1.79	2.55
2/18	H	Hagerty	16-	0	16	14		-1.79	1.98
2/20	A	Park Vista	6-	15	-9	-4	––	1.79	-5.19
2/25	H	Lake Brantley	13-	11	2	0	+	-1.79	2.43
2/27	H	Lake Highland Prep	15-	7	8	9		-1.79	-1.30
3/06	H	Oviedo	13-	14	-1	5	––	-1.79	-5.91
3/11	A	Bishop Moore	20-	6	14	9	++	1.79	4.85
3/13	H	Lake Mary	13-	12	1	2		-1.79	-0.70
3/18	A	Lake Howell	13-	9	4	4		1.79	0.13
3/20	H	Lyman	21-	4	17	21	–	-1.79	-3.93
3/23	A	Lake Mary	9-	10	-1	-2		1.79	0.89
3/25	A	Sanford Seminole	19-	1	18	19		1.79	-1.33
3/27	A	St. Edward's	19-	10	9	6	+	1.79	3.37
4/01	H	Timber Creek	15-	14	1	5	––	-1.79	-4.11
4/03	H	Olympia	11-	9	2	3		-1.79	-1.16
4/06	N	Lake Howell	17-	8	9	6	+	0.00	3.34
4/07	N	Oviedo	16-	11	5	3		0.00	1.88
4/17	A	Bartram Trail	14-	13	1	2		1.79	-0.55
4/24	N	Lake Brantley	8-	9	-1	-2		0.00	1.22
									0.00	0.00