| Region: MD 4A-3A | State: MD | Coach: J. Chase Stevens |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/20 | H | Linganore | 22- | 2 | 20 | 20 | | -0.90 | 0.19 | |
3/27 | H | Patterson Mill | 21- | 3 | 18 | 11 | +++ | -0.90 | 6.83 | |
3/31 | A | South Carroll | 17- | 5 | 12 | 9 | + | 0.90 | 2.81 | |
4/07 | A | Urbana | 17- | 7 | 10 | 9 | | 0.90 | 0.69 | |
4/13 | N | Severn School | 16- | 11 | 5 | 5 | | 0.00 | | 0.10 |
4/16 | A | Thomas Johnson | 23- | 2 | 21 | 20 | | 0.90 | 0.91 | |
4/18 | N | Towson HS | 17- | 5 | 12 | 8 | + | 0.00 | 3.84 | |
4/23 | H | North Carroll | 19- | 8 | 11 | 7 | ++ | -0.90 | 4.48 | |
4/27 | H | Winters Mill | 23- | 9 | 14 | 6 | +++ | -0.90 | 7.55 | |
4/28 | A | Century, MD | 10- | 14 | -4 | -1 | | 0.90 | -2.75 | |
4/30 | H | Tuscarora | 21- | 1 | 20 | 29 | | -0.90 | -8.91 | |
5/01 | H | Francis Scott Key | 14- | 1 | 13 | 21 | | -0.90 | -7.60 | |
5/06 | A | Liberty, MD | 11- | 10 | 1 | 2 | | 0.90 | -0.89 | |
5/09 | H | Linganore | 18- | 1 | 17 | 20 | | -0.90 | -2.81 | |
5/11 | H | Gaithersburg | 20- | 2 | 18 | 20 | | -0.90 | -1.99 | |
5/13 | H | North Carroll | 12- | 9 | 3 | 7 | | -0.90 | -3.52 | |
5/16 | N | Walter Johnson | 22- | 4 | 18 | 15 | + | 0.00 | 2.83 | |
5/19 | N | Severna Park | 5- | 7 | -2 | 0 | | 0.00 | -1.66 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/20 | H | Linganore | 22- | 2 | -0.19 |
3/27 | H | Patterson Mill | 21- | 3 | -6.83 |
3/31 | A | South Carroll | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/07 | A | Urbana | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/16 | A | Thomas Johnson | 23- | 2 | -0.91 |
4/18 | N | Towson HS | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
4/23 | H | North Carroll | 19- | 8 | -1.00 |
4/27 | H | Winters Mill | 23- | 9 | -4.00 |
4/30 | H | Tuscarora | 21- | 1 | 8.91 |
5/01 | H | Francis Scott Key | 14- | 1 | 7.60 |
5/09 | H | Linganore | 18- | 1 | 2.81 |
5/11 | H | Gaithersburg | 20- | 2 | 1.99 |
5/16 | N | Walter Johnson | 22- | 4 | -2.83 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.09 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 190. | | Natl CCR Rank | 19 |
| Natl Poll Vote | 97. | | Natl Poll Rank | 21 |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.37 | | Natl Power Rank | 19 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 82.81 | | Natl SOS Rank | 147 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 792 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.89 | | W-L Pct Rank | 93 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 11.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.3 |
|