Wed Jul 8 12:49:12 EDT 2009
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 AL 2.18 36 13 6 5 7 2 3 CA N Coast 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CA San Diego 2.69 353 93 72 66 37 31 54 AZ 2.41 94 29 22 9 16 8 10 CA N 2.85 434 104 87 65 58 49 71 CA N Club 2.73 86 17 24 14 8 8 15 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 FL W Club 3.08 37 8 6 8 4 5 6 CA S 3.31 344 63 57 62 50 37 75 CA S Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CO 3.24 330 72 56 58 38 25 82 CT 2.62 616 158 129 116 74 58 81 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DE 3.28 192 42 37 27 27 19 41 FL FHSAA 3.33 436 95 72 67 64 46 93 FL SE Club 2.99 51 16 6 5 7 6 11 GA 3.14 328 65 60 56 42 34 71 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.65 49 9 5 11 6 6 12 IL 3.45 298 56 53 48 44 31 66 IN 3.00 120 30 20 18 12 14 26 IA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 KE 3.06 90 22 17 13 14 4 20 ME 2.66 244 62 52 47 25 21 37 DC 3.39 235 51 40 44 30 22 48 IAAM-A 3.27 148 26 28 29 24 16 25 IAAM-B 2.87 52 13 10 6 7 5 11 IAAM-C 3.03 50 9 10 12 5 8 6 MD Private 4.62 65 12 7 13 10 6 17 MD Public 3.16 824 179 157 154 98 73 165 MA 3.04 1260 267 264 225 149 120 237 MI DI 3.15 426 83 94 71 47 44 88 MI DII 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MI Club 3.75 106 21 19 13 12 10 31 MN 2.73 358 82 74 65 55 32 50 MN Club 4.39 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MO 2.96 185 41 29 36 29 20 30 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NE Prep 3.69 542 105 109 81 57 47 143 RI 3.55 207 43 35 36 24 18 51 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NH 3.22 293 55 52 55 44 24 63 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NJ 2.98 1467 308 281 253 206 164 257 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NY Sect 7 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NY City 3.31 159 25 30 35 22 13 34 NY Catholic 3.46 72 12 11 17 13 7 12 NY Sect 1 3.18 356 67 80 49 50 38 72 NY Sect 2 3.04 191 37 32 39 26 25 32 NY Sect 3 3.12 365 85 67 67 55 28 63 NY Sect 4 2.81 106 21 28 12 20 11 14 NY Sect 5 3.01 297 63 67 56 30 29 53 NY Sect 6 3.31 182 39 35 34 20 13 41 NY Sect 8 3.06 381 76 77 67 57 32 72 NY Sect 9 3.46 113 18 19 19 14 17 26 NY Sect 10 4.83 55 6 12 8 9 2 18 NY Sect 11 3.19 365 66 69 62 61 35 72 NC 3.09 326 59 73 56 51 30 57 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 NC Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH 2.91 628 142 107 132 83 64 100 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OR 2.97 235 53 48 29 39 21 45 PA PSLA 3.46 845 142 174 128 103 106 192 PA CPLA 3.20 302 54 70 51 37 27 63 PA WPIAL 2.98 269 54 57 55 23 30 50 SC 2.75 98 18 28 14 15 9 14 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TN 3.42 198 35 35 28 34 19 47 TX 3.06 246 53 54 40 23 29 48 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UT 3.04 198 41 38 43 23 16 37 VT 3.40 198 35 30 37 32 18 46 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 VA 3.08 660 138 118 120 89 67 128 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WA B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 WA A 3.34 114 21 21 22 10 14 27 WV 3.63 24 3 4 1 6 4 6 WI 3.23 43 11 8 7 3 5 9 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GA N Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 3.04 16563 3517 3278 2896 2185 1651 3049 total games............... = 16563 ave error (goals)......... = 3.04 total upsets.............. = 4446 % of games within 1 goal.. = 21.23 % of games within 2 goals. = 41.03 % of games within 3 goals. = 58.51 % of games within 4 goals. = 71.70 % of games within 5 goals. = 81.67 % of games > 5 goals. = 18.41
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