| Conference: Region XX | | State: MD | Coach: Rick Young |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/27 | MERCYHURST NORTH EAST (6-6) | Region III | 62.1 | | W | 19- | 5 | | 0.00 |
3/07 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (4-5) | JV/Juco/PG | 71.9 | | L | 7- | 8 | ot | 0.00 |
3/13 | at Stevenson JV (3-2) | JV/Juco/PG | 70.2 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/21 | NASSAU (14-5) | Region XV | 77.4 | 3 | L | 8- | 9 | 2ot | 0.00 |
3/27 | at Morris (0-9) | Region XIX | 55.0 | | W | 17- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/28 | at Suffolk (11-4) | Region XV | 72.7 | 4 | W | 9- | 8 | | -0.70 |
4/01 | at Essex (13-4) | Region XX | 74.0 | 2 | L | 12- | 13 | | 0.00 |
4/04 | CATONSVILLE (7-8) | Region XX | 69.6 | 10 | W | 11- | 10 | ot | -0.10 |
4/07 | DELAWARE TECH (8-9) | Region XIX | 62.6 | | W | 15- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | vs. Harford # (6-12) | Region XX | 62.2 | | W | 16- | 1 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | ARMY PREP (6-8) | JV/Juco/PG | 69.9 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/22 | at Howard (4-9) | Region XX | 67.9 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | MONTGOMERY CC (0-8) | Club Status | 53.8 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.00 |
5/01 | vs. Catonsville # (7-8) | Region XX | 69.6 | 10 | W | 17- | 10 | | -0.10 |
5/03 | at Essex (13-4) | Region XX | 74.0 | 2 | L | 7- | 12 | | 0.00 |
5/09 | vs. Onondaga # (16-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 6- | 17 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 68.1 | | | | | | -0.90 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/27 | H | Mercyhurst North East | 19- | 5 | 14 | 12 | | -1.52 | 1.55 | |
3/07 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 7- | 8 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.89 | | -3.80 |
3/13 | A | Stevenson JV | 11- | 8 | 3 | 1 | + | 1.89 | | 2.24 |
3/21 | H | Nassau | 8- | 9 | -1 | -3 | + | -1.52 | 2.30 | |
3/27 | A | Morris | 17- | 4 | 13 | 17 | – | 1.52 | -3.58 | |
3/28 | A | Suffolk | 9- | 8 | 1 | -1 | + | 1.52 | 2.31 | |
4/01 | A | Essex | 12- | 13 | -1 | -2 | | 1.52 | 1.38 | |
4/04 | H | Catonsville | 11- | 10 | 1 | 5 | – | -1.52 | -3.92 | |
4/07 | H | Delaware Tech | 15- | 10 | 5 | 12 | ––– | -1.52 | -6.60 | |
4/11 | N | Harford | 16- | 1 | 15 | 11 | + | 0.00 | 3.88 | |
4/18 | H | Army Prep | 15- | 4 | 11 | 5 | +++ | -1.89 | | 6.12 |
4/22 | A | Howard | 12- | 6 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.52 | 3.26 | |
4/25 | H | Montgomery CC | 18- | 0 | 18 | 22 | – | -1.52 | -3.86 | |
5/01 | N | Catonsville | 17- | 10 | 7 | 3 | + | 0.00 | 3.60 | |
5/03 | A | Essex | 7- | 12 | -5 | -2 | – | 1.52 | -2.62 | |
5/09 | N | Onondaga | 6- | 17 | -11 | -13 | + | 0.00 | 2.31 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 4.56 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/27 | H | Mercyhurst North East | 19- | 5 | -1.55 |
3/27 | A | Morris | 17- | 4 | 3.58 |
4/11 | N | Harford | 16- | 1 | -3.88 |
4/18 | H | Army Prep | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/25 | H | Montgomery CC | 18- | 0 | 3.86 |
5/09 | N | Onondaga | 6- | 17 | -2.31 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.08 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 12.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 4 |
| Local Poll Vote | 40. | | Local Poll Rank | 5 |
| Local Power Rating | 72.85 | | Local Power Rank | 4 |
| Local SOS Rating | 67.59 | | Local SOS Rank | 6 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 7 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 8 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.90 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 6 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 3 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
|
