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Bowdoin Polar Bears (10-6)

Conference: NESCACRegion: NorthState: MECoach: Tom McCabe

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#13 Tufts Holds off #19 Bowdoin in NESCAC Semifinal

MIDDLEBURY, Vt. – Tufts held Bowdoin scoreless during the second and third quarters en route to a 10-8 victory in a NESCAC semifinal match-up on Saturday in Vermont. The third-seeded Jumbos will make their second NESCAC Championship appearance when they take on the fourth-seeded Wesleyan Cardinals, a 15-14 overtime winner against top-seed Middlebury, in the title game slated for Sunday at noon. The winner of that game will receive an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/07WESLEYAN (15-4)NESCAC90.610W4- 3 -0.55  
3/14at Trinity (10-6)NESCAC89.4W10- 7 0.00  
3/16vs. Western New England # (17-3)Commonwealth91.59L9-11 0.00  
3/18vs. St. Lawrence # (13-4)Liberty90.716W10- 6 -0.25  
3/21AMHERST (6-8)NESCAC87.8W10- 9 0.00  
3/25at Keene State (9-4)Little East84.5W16- 9 0.00  
3/28at Connecticut College (6-9)NESCAC87.3W12- 6 0.00  
4/01vs. Springfield # (12-7)Pilgrim88.3W11- 6 0.00  
4/04MIDDLEBURY (15-3)NESCAC91.67L13-14 0.00  
4/08ENDICOTT (18-4)Commonwealth88.017L9-10 0.00  
4/11at Williams (7-7)NESCAC90.0L7-10 0.00  
4/15at Colby (8-7)NESCAC87.6L8- 9ot0.00  
4/21at Bates (4-9)NESCAC85.4W15- 7 0.00  
4/24TUFTS (13-5)NESCAC92.112W11- 7 -0.45  
4/26TRINITY (10-6)NESCAC89.4W11- 8 0.00  
5/02vs. Tufts # (13-5)NESCAC92.112L8-10 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 89.1     -1.25  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/07HWesleyan4-31   2       -1.93       -1.43
3/14ATrinity10-73   0       +1.93       3.21
3/16NWestern New England9-11-2   0       0.00       -2.19
3/18NSt. Lawrence10-64   1       +0.00       3.30
3/21HAmherst10-91   5       ––-1.93       -4.45
3/25AKeene State16-97   4       +1.93       2.88
3/28AConnecticut College12-66   2       ++1.93       4.08
4/01NSpringfield11-65   2       +0.00       2.65
4/04HMiddlebury13-14-1   2       -1.93       -2.75
4/08HEndicott9-10-1   5       ––-1.93       -5.90
4/11AWilliams7-10-3   -1       1.93       -2.48
4/15AColby8-9-1   2       1.93       -2.83
4/21ABates15-78   5       +1.93       3.24
4/24HTufts11-74   0       +-1.93       3.69
4/26HTrinity11-83   4       -1.93       -0.65
5/02NTufts8-10-2   -2       0.00       -0.37
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 29.00   Local TSI Rank 9
Local Poll Vote 26.   Local Poll Rank 18
Local Power Rating 91.37   Local Power Rank 12
Local SOS Rating 88.32   Local SOS Rank 4
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 14
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 33
Local Quality Win Rating -1.25   Local Quality Win Rank 9
Local Loss Rating 1.40   Local Loss Rank 29
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 3-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.7



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