| Conference: NESCAC | Region: North | State: ME | Coach: Tom McCabe |
#13 Tufts Holds off #19 Bowdoin in NESCAC Semifinal
MIDDLEBURY, Vt. – Tufts held Bowdoin scoreless during the second and third quarters en route to a 10-8 victory in a NESCAC semifinal match-up on Saturday in Vermont. The third-seeded Jumbos will make their second NESCAC Championship appearance when they take on the fourth-seeded Wesleyan Cardinals, a 15-14 overtime winner against top-seed Middlebury, in the title game slated for Sunday at noon. The winner of that game will receive an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/07 | H | Wesleyan | 4- | 3 | 1 | 2 | | -1.93 | -1.43 | |
3/14 | A | Trinity | 10- | 7 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.93 | 3.21 | |
3/16 | N | Western New England | 9- | 11 | -2 | 0 | | 0.00 | -2.19 | |
3/18 | N | St. Lawrence | 10- | 6 | 4 | 1 | + | 0.00 | 3.30 | |
3/21 | H | Amherst | 10- | 9 | 1 | 5 | | -1.93 | -4.45 | |
3/25 | A | Keene State | 16- | 9 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.93 | 2.88 | |
3/28 | A | Connecticut College | 12- | 6 | 6 | 2 | ++ | 1.93 | 4.08 | |
4/01 | N | Springfield | 11- | 6 | 5 | 2 | + | 0.00 | 2.65 | |
4/04 | H | Middlebury | 13- | 14 | -1 | 2 | | -1.93 | -2.75 | |
4/08 | H | Endicott | 9- | 10 | -1 | 5 | | -1.93 | -5.90 | |
4/11 | A | Williams | 7- | 10 | -3 | -1 | | 1.93 | -2.48 | |
4/15 | A | Colby | 8- | 9 | -1 | 2 | | 1.93 | -2.83 | |
4/21 | A | Bates | 15- | 7 | 8 | 5 | + | 1.93 | 3.24 | |
4/24 | H | Tufts | 11- | 7 | 4 | 0 | + | -1.93 | 3.69 | |
4/26 | H | Trinity | 11- | 8 | 3 | 4 | | -1.93 | -0.65 | |
5/02 | N | Tufts | 8- | 10 | -2 | -2 | | 0.00 | -0.37 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 29.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 9 |
| Local Poll Vote | 26. | | Local Poll Rank | 18 |
| Local Power Rating | 91.37 | | Local Power Rank | 12 |
| Local SOS Rating | 88.32 | | Local SOS Rank | 4 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.64 | | Local RPI Rank | 14 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 33 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.25 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 9 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 29 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.7 |
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