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2009
2008
2007
2006

Cal Poly - SLO Mustangs (12-4)

Conference: WCLL 1

State: CA

Coach: Marc Lea

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 •

Colorado State Dealt Tough Loss by Cal Poly

Santa Maria, California - A game that started out like it would be another victory for #8 Colorado State Rams turned out to be a tough wake-up call as they were upset by then 19th ranked Cal Poly Mustangs. This was a game in which the ball rolled in favor of Cal Poly. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*				QWF
1/31	at UCLA (5-7)	SLC North/Wes	73.3		W	13-	4		0.00
2/15	UC DAVIS (4-9)	WCLL 1	75.0		W	10-	7		0.00
2/22	COLORADO STATE (11-9)	RMLC 1	83.1	11	W	11-	9		-0.60
2/28	vs. Santa Clara # (11-5)	WCLL 1	78.6	25	L	10-	11	2ot	0.00
3/07	LOYOLA MARYMOUNT (8-6)	SLC North/Wes	80.9	22	W	14-	13		-0.16
3/14	SONOMA STATE (11-7)	WCLL 1	80.1	10	W	10-	9		-0.64
3/16	MINNESOTA - DULUTH (13-4)	UMLL 1	84.7	5	W	13-	12	ot	-0.84
4/04	at California (14-3)	WCLL 1	80.0	15	L	9-	10	ot	0.00
4/08	UC SANTA BARBARA (8-8)	SLC North/Wes	81.7	17	L	3-	6		0.00
4/11	STANFORD (9-5)	WCLL 1	78.0	20	W	17-	9		-0.24
4/18	at Chico State (8-7)	WCLL 1	75.7		W	15-	11		0.00
4/19	at Nevada (1-11)	WCLL 1	62.5		W	21-	1		0.00
4/25	SAN JOSE STATE (4-10)	WCLL 1	62.8		W	19-	0		0.00
5/02	vs. Stanford # (9-5)	WCLL 1	78.0	20	W	14-	7		-0.24
5/03	vs. Sonoma State # (11-7)	WCLL 1	80.1	10	W	17-	9		-0.64
5/12	vs. Florida State # (17-3)	SELC 1 South	82.2	9	L	11-	13		0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			77.3						-3.36

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
1/31	A	UCLA	13-	4	9	7		1.43	1.82
2/15	H	UC Davis	10-	7	3	8	––	-1.43	-5.36
2/22	H	Colorado State	11-	9	2	0		-1.43	1.59
2/28	N	Santa Clara	10-	11	-1	4	––	0.00	-4.55
3/07	H	Loyola Marymount	14-	13	1	2		-1.43	-1.07
3/14	H	Sonoma State	10-	9	1	3	–	-1.43	-2.12
3/16	H	Minnesota - Duluth	13-	12	1	-2	+	-1.43	3.33
4/04	A	California	9-	10	-1	0		1.43	-1.21
4/08	H	UC Santa Barbara	3-	6	-3	1	––	-1.43	-4.33
4/11	H	Stanford	17-	9	8	5	+	-1.43	2.58
4/18	A	Chico State	15-	11	4	4		1.43	-0.07
4/19	A	Nevada	21-	1	20	18		1.43	1.89
4/25	H	San Jose State	19-	0	19	20		-1.43	-1.41
5/02	N	Stanford	14-	7	7	4	+	0.00	3.01
5/03	N	Sonoma State	17-	9	8	2	+++	0.00	6.31
5/12	N	Florida State	11-	13	-2	-2		0.00	-0.41
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/19	A	Nevada	21-	1	-1.89
4/25	H	San Jose State	19-	0	1.41
10-goal correction: -0.03

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	21.00	Local TSI Rank	9
Local Poll Vote	449.	Local Poll Rank	7
Local Power Rating	81.69	Local Power Rank	12
Local SOS Rating	76.66	Local SOS Rank	14
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	16
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	8
Local Quality Win Rating	-3.36	Local Quality Win Rank	7
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	18
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-4	Ave Goal diff (all )	4.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-0	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-1	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.3