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2009
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2005

Denison Big Red (14-3)

Conference: North Coast

Region: South

State: OH

Coach: Mike Caravana

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

No. 5 Gettysburg Downs No. 14 Denison to Reach Semifinals

GETTYSBURG, Pa. – Junior Kyle McGrath (Randolph, N.J./Randolph) poured in four goals and two assists as No. 5 Gettysburg outscored No. 14 Denison University 7-2 to start the game en route to a 13-8 victory in the NCAA Division III quarterfinals Wednesday afternoon at Shirk Field at Musselman Stadium. [full story]

[ more stories ]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*			QWF
2/23	TRINE (6-9)	Independent	78.2		W	22-	1	0.00
2/28	at Randolph-Macon (7-7)	Old Dominion	82.4		L	8-	9	0.00
3/14	vs. Lynchburg # (11-5)	Old Dominion	89.7	20	W	19-	9	-0.05
3/21	vs. St. Mary's # (8-7)	Capital	87.7		W	14-	7	0.00
3/25	WITTENBERG (7-6)	North Coast	83.9		W	12-	4	0.00
3/28	WOOSTER (7-6)	North Coast	85.9		W	8-	7	0.00
4/05	at Ohio Wesleyan (10-5)	North Coast	90.2		W	17-	9	0.00
4/08	at Oberlin (0-12)	North Coast	72.2		W	22-	3	0.00
4/11	ADRIAN (8-6)	Independent	80.5		W	18-	4	0.00
4/14	MOUNT ST. JOSEPH (6-9)	Independent	76.3		W	17-	1	0.00
4/17	COLORADO COLLEGE (9-6)	Independent	85.3		W	17-	5	0.00
4/25	at Kenyon (8-6)	North Coast	87.0		W	8-	6	0.00
4/29	at Saint Vincent (5-9)	Independent	81.5		W	24-	6	0.00
5/02	STEVENSON (17-2)	Capital	93.7	1	L	9-	12	0.00
5/06	OHIO WESLEYAN (10-5)	North Coast	90.2		W	12-	2	0.00
5/09	at Roanoke (17-2)	Old Dominion	92.2	3	W	14-	7	-0.90
5/13	at Gettysburg (16-4)	Centennial	93.7	5	L	8-	13	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			85.3					-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/23	H	Trine	22-	1	21	18	+	-1.93	3.01
2/28	A	Randolph-Macon	8-	9	-1	9	–––	1.93	-10.23
3/14	N	Lynchburg	19-	9	10	4	++	0.00	5.73
3/21	N	St. Mary's	14-	7	7	6		0.00	0.74
3/25	H	Wittenberg	12-	4	8	12	–	-1.93	-3.86
3/28	H	Wooster	8-	7	1	10	–––	-1.93	-9.01
4/05	A	Ohio Wesleyan	17-	9	8	1	+++	1.93	6.51
4/08	A	Oberlin	22-	3	19	20		1.93	-0.53
4/11	H	Adrian	18-	4	14	14		-1.93	-0.37
4/14	H	Mount St. Joseph	17-	1	16	19	–	-1.93	-3.24
4/17	H	Colorado College	17-	5	12	11		-1.93	1.36
4/25	A	Kenyon	8-	6	2	5	–	1.93	-2.53
4/29	A	Saint Vincent	24-	6	18	11	+++	1.93	6.99
5/02	H	Stevenson	9-	12	-3	1	––	-1.93	-4.49
5/06	H	Ohio Wesleyan	12-	2	10	5	++	-1.93	4.64
5/09	A	Roanoke	14-	7	7	-1	+++	1.93	8.48
5/13	A	Gettysburg	8-	13	-5	-2	–	1.93	-3.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/23	H	Trine	22-	1	-3.01
3/14	N	Lynchburg	19-	9	0.00
4/08	A	Oberlin	22-	3	0.53
4/11	H	Adrian	18-	4	0.37
4/14	H	Mount St. Joseph	17-	1	3.24
4/17	H	Colorado College	17-	5	-1.36
4/29	A	Saint Vincent	24-	6	-6.99
5/06	H	Ohio Wesleyan	12-	2	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.42

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	49.00	Local TSI Rank	15
Local Poll Vote	69.	Local Poll Rank	14
Local Power Rating	93.43	Local Power Rank	6
Local SOS Rating	84.44	Local SOS Rank	36
Local RPI Rating	0.64	Local RPI Rank	12
Local Trend Rating	2.00	Local Trend Rank	36
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.95	Local Quality Win Rank	16
Local Loss Rating	1.00	Local Loss Rank	17
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3	Ave Goal diff (all )	8.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-2	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	4.0