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Elon Phoenix (14-1)

Conference: SELC 2 NorthState: NCCoach: Steve Bailey

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore QWF
2/07GEORGIA STATE (3-5)SELC 2 Centra67.5W14- 7 0.00  
2/21DUKE CLUB (0-7)Tidewater D174.5W17- 5 0.00  
2/22at East Carolina (1-7)SELC 1 North62.9W14- 4 0.00  
3/05UNC - GREENSBORO (4-8)South78.2W18- 2 0.00  
3/10LAKE FOREST (8-6)South66.1W20- 5 0.00  
3/14at Savannah Art & Design (6-12)SELC 2 South72.0W10- 6 0.00  
3/15vs. Southwestern # (11-6)LSA 271.410W14- 4 -0.64  
3/20CARLETON (6-8)UMLL 263.4W22- 9 0.00  
4/03SOUTHERN VIRGINIA (3-10)SELC 2 North61.1W17- 2 0.00  
4/04DAVIDSON (5-5)SELC 2 North68.0W22- 6 0.00  
4/09at UNC - Charlotte (8-5)SELC 2 North73.115W18-13 -0.44  
4/17HIGH POINT (2-5)SELC 2 North63.9W13- 2 0.00  
4/19at Appalachian State (3-6)SELC 2 North65.8W14- 4 0.00  
4/25vs. Coastal Carolina # (7-4)SELC 2 South70.8W16- 5 0.00  
4/26vs. Emory # (11-2)SELC 2 Centra76.54L6- 7 0.00  
# Neutral site 68.5     -1.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/07HGeorgia State14-77   12       ––-1.65       -4.99
2/21HDuke Club17-512   5       +++-1.57       7.22
2/22AEast Carolina14-410   13       –1.54       -3.30
3/05HUNC - Greensboro18-216   1       +++-1.95       14.56
3/10HLake Forest20-515   13       +-1.19       2.26
3/14ASavannah Art & Design10-64   3       1.65       0.70
3/15NSouthwestern14-410   6       +0.00       3.91
3/20HCarleton22-913   15       –-1.65       -2.43
4/03HSouthern Virginia17-215   18       –-1.65       -2.73
4/04HDavidson22-616   11       ++-1.65       4.70
4/09AUNC - Charlotte18-135   3       +1.65       2.46
4/17HHigh Point13-211   15       –-1.65       -3.69
4/19AAppalachian State14-410   10       1.65       -0.31
4/25NCoastal Carolina16-511   7       ++0.00       4.46
4/26NEmory6-7-1   1       –0.00       -2.08
         0.0020.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/21HDuke Club17-5-2.00
2/22AEast Carolina14-43.30
3/05HUNC - Greensboro18-2-6.00
3/10HLake Forest20-5-2.26
3/15NSouthwestern14-40.00
3/20HCarleton22-92.43
4/03HSouthern Virginia17-22.73
4/04HDavidson22-6-4.70
4/17HHigh Point13-23.69
4/19AAppalachian State14-40.31
4/25NCoastal Carolina16-5-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.23

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 12.00   Local TSI Rank 6
Local Poll Vote 457.   Local Poll Rank 7
Local Power Rating 77.69   Local Power Rank 3
Local SOS Rating 69.27   Local SOS Rank 22
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 6
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 5
Local Quality Win Rating -1.08   Local Quality Win Rank 13
Local Loss Rating 0.20   Local Loss Rank 3
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.7



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