| Conference: Region XX | | State: MD | Coach: Brian Duncan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/04 | at Navy JV (2-0) | JV/Juco/PG | 79.6 | | L | 4- | 11 | | 0.00 |
3/06 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (4-5) | JV/Juco/PG | 71.9 | | W | 12- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | at Onondaga (16-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 5- | 25 | | 0.00 |
3/16 | at Monroe (14-5) | Region III | 71.6 | 7 | W | 16- | 13 | | -0.40 |
3/21 | HERKIMER (12-5) | Region III | 72.3 | 8 | L | 11- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/01 | ANNE ARUNDEL (11-5) | Region XX | 72.8 | 5 | W | 13- | 12 | | -0.60 |
4/05 | at Army Prep (6-8) | JV/Juco/PG | 69.9 | | W | 8- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | HOWARD (4-9) | Region XX | 67.9 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/11 | at Nassau (14-5) | Region XV | 77.4 | 3 | W | 14- | 12 | | -0.80 |
4/15 | CATONSVILLE (7-8) | Region XX | 69.6 | 10 | W | 15- | 7 | | -0.10 |
4/18 | HARFORD (6-12) | Region XX | 62.2 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | at Stevenson JV (3-2) | JV/Juco/PG | 70.2 | | W | 14- | 13 | 2ot | 0.00 |
4/22 | at Montgomery CC (0-8) | Club Status | 53.8 | | W | 15- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | SUFFOLK (11-4) | Region XV | 72.7 | 4 | W | 13- | 7 | | -0.70 |
5/01 | HOWARD (4-9) | Region XX | 67.9 | | W | 24- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/03 | ANNE ARUNDEL (11-5) | Region XX | 72.8 | 5 | W | 12- | 7 | | -0.60 |
5/09 | vs. Nassau # (14-5) | Region XV | 77.4 | 3 | L | 7- | 13 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.0 | | | | | | -3.20 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/04 | A | Navy JV | 4- | 11 | -7 | -7 | | 1.89 | | 0.45 |
3/06 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 12- | 8 | 4 | 4 | | -1.89 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | A | Onondaga | 5- | 25 | -20 | -14 | ––– | 1.52 | -6.03 | |
3/16 | A | Monroe | 16- | 13 | 3 | 0 | + | 1.52 | 2.57 | |
3/21 | H | Herkimer | 11- | 12 | -1 | 2 | – | -1.52 | -3.40 | |
4/01 | H | Anne Arundel | 13- | 12 | 1 | 2 | | -1.52 | -1.38 | |
4/05 | A | Army Prep | 8- | 5 | 3 | 2 | | 1.89 | | 0.69 |
4/08 | H | Howard | 13- | 5 | 8 | 7 | | -1.52 | 1.37 | |
4/11 | A | Nassau | 14- | 12 | 2 | -5 | +++ | 1.52 | 7.47 | |
4/15 | H | Catonsville | 15- | 7 | 8 | 6 | + | -1.52 | 2.22 | |
4/18 | H | Harford | 14- | 4 | 10 | 14 | – | -1.52 | -3.50 | |
4/21 | A | Stevenson JV | 14- | 13 | 1 | 2 | | 1.89 | | -0.96 |
4/22 | A | Montgomery CC | 15- | 6 | 9 | 20 | ––– | 1.52 | -10.68 | |
4/25 | H | Suffolk | 13- | 7 | 6 | 3 | + | -1.52 | 3.42 | |
5/01 | H | Howard | 24- | 10 | 14 | 7 | +++ | -1.52 | 7.37 | |
5/03 | H | Anne Arundel | 12- | 7 | 5 | 2 | + | -1.52 | 2.62 | |
5/09 | N | Nassau | 7- | 13 | -6 | -4 | – | 0.00 | -2.04 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/14 | A | Onondaga | 5- | 25 | 6.03 |
4/18 | H | Harford | 14- | 4 | 3.50 |
5/01 | H | Howard | 24- | 10 | -4.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.33 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | -3.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 54. | | Local Poll Rank | 2 |
| Local Power Rating | 74.05 | | Local Power Rank | 3 |
| Local SOS Rating | 70.68 | | Local SOS Rank | 1 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.64 | | Local RPI Rank | 3 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.20 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 2 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 4 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
|
