| Conference: Region XV | | State: NY | Coach: Rich Speckmann |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/28 | at Army JV (6-2) | JV/Juco/PG | 70.8 | | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/01 | FINGER LAKES (8-12) | Region III | 63.6 | | W | 19- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/07 | vs. Monroe # (14-5) | Region III | 71.6 | 7 | L | 17- | 18 | | 0.00 |
3/14 | CATONSVILLE (7-8) | Region XX | 69.6 | 10 | W | 23- | 6 | | -0.10 |
3/15 | HARFORD (6-12) | Region XX | 62.2 | | W | 18- | 3 | | 0.00 |
3/17 | NAVAL ACADEMY PREP (4-5) | JV/Juco/PG | 71.9 | | W | 9- | 8 | | 0.00 |
3/21 | at Anne Arundel (11-5) | Region XX | 72.8 | 5 | W | 9- | 8 | 2ot | -0.60 |
3/22 | at Delaware Tech (8-9) | Region XIX | 62.6 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.00 |
3/25 | HUDSON VALLEY (13-4) | Region III | 70.5 | 6 | W | 15- | 9 | | -0.50 |
3/29 | at Onondaga (16-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 9- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/04 | HOWARD (4-9) | Region XX | 67.9 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | SUFFOLK (11-4) | Region XV | 72.7 | 4 | L | 12- | 13 | ot | 0.00 |
4/11 | ESSEX (13-4) | Region XX | 74.0 | 2 | L | 12- | 14 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | HERKIMER (12-5) | Region III | 72.3 | 8 | W | 23- | 11 | | -0.30 |
4/25 | at Army Prep (6-8) | JV/Juco/PG | 69.9 | | W | 17- | 13 | | 0.00 |
5/01 | at Suffolk (11-4) | Region XV | 72.7 | 4 | W | 17- | 10 | | -0.70 |
5/03 | DELAWARE TECH (8-9) | Region XIX | 62.6 | | W | 20- | 4 | | 0.00 |
5/09 | vs. Essex # (13-4) | Region XX | 74.0 | 2 | W | 13- | 7 | | -0.90 |
5/10 | vs. Onondaga # (16-0) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 8- | 9 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.2 | | | | | | -3.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/28 | A | Army JV | 13- | 4 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.89 | | 4.23 |
3/01 | H | Finger Lakes | 19- | 3 | 16 | 15 | | -1.52 | 0.65 | |
3/07 | N | Monroe | 17- | 18 | -1 | 6 | ––– | 0.00 | -6.91 | |
3/14 | H | Catonsville | 23- | 6 | 17 | 10 | +++ | -1.52 | 7.27 | |
3/15 | H | Harford | 18- | 3 | 15 | 17 | – | -1.52 | -2.46 | |
3/17 | H | Naval Academy Prep | 9- | 8 | 1 | 7 | ––– | -1.89 | | -6.38 |
3/21 | A | Anne Arundel | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | – | 1.52 | -2.30 | |
3/22 | A | Delaware Tech | 15- | 4 | 11 | 13 | – | 1.52 | -2.37 | |
3/25 | H | Hudson Valley | 15- | 9 | 6 | 9 | – | -1.52 | -2.57 | |
3/29 | A | Onondaga | 9- | 10 | -1 | -10 | +++ | 1.52 | 9.01 | |
4/04 | H | Howard | 12- | 5 | 7 | 11 | – | -1.52 | -3.59 | |
4/08 | H | Suffolk | 12- | 13 | -1 | 7 | ––– | -1.52 | -7.54 | |
4/11 | H | Essex | 12- | 14 | -2 | 5 | ––– | -1.52 | -7.47 | |
4/18 | H | Herkimer | 23- | 11 | 12 | 6 | ++ | -1.52 | 5.64 | |
4/25 | A | Army Prep | 17- | 13 | 4 | 6 | | 1.89 | | -1.69 |
5/01 | A | Suffolk | 17- | 10 | 7 | 4 | + | 1.52 | 3.50 | |
5/03 | H | Delaware Tech | 20- | 4 | 16 | 16 | | -1.52 | -0.41 | |
5/09 | N | Essex | 13- | 7 | 6 | 4 | + | 0.00 | 2.04 | |
5/10 | N | Onondaga | 8- | 9 | -1 | -8 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.50 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -3.84 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/01 | H | Finger Lakes | 19- | 3 | -0.65 |
3/14 | H | Catonsville | 23- | 6 | -7.27 |
3/15 | H | Harford | 18- | 3 | 2.46 |
3/22 | A | Delaware Tech | 15- | 4 | 2.37 |
4/18 | H | Herkimer | 23- | 11 | -2.00 |
5/03 | H | Delaware Tech | 20- | 4 | 0.41 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.25 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | -2.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 3 |
| Local Poll Vote | 44. | | Local Poll Rank | 3 |
| Local Power Rating | 77.43 | | Local Power Rank | 2 |
| Local SOS Rating | 70.29 | | Local SOS Rank | 2 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.65 | | Local RPI Rank | 2 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 6 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 3 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 8 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 7.0 |
|
