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Nazareth Golden Flyers (11-7)

Conference: Empire 8Region: NorthState: NYCoach: Rob Randall

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#16 St. Lawrence Downs #19 Nazareth in NCAA Opener

CANTON, N.Y. -- Nazareth's 2009 men's lacrosse season came to a decisive halt Wednesday at St. Lawrence as the host Saints outscored the Golden Flyers, 14-7, in a first-round NCAA Division III Tournament game. The Saints defeated the Golden Flyers for the second time this season and improved to 13-3 overall. St. Lawrence visits Middlebury, Vt. Saturday for a second-round game against the Panthers. Nazareth finished its season at 11-7 overall.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/01at Springfield (12-7)Pilgrim88.3W9- 8ot0.00  
3/07GENESEO (13-2)SUNYAC93.813W14-12 -0.40  
3/13at Oswego (8-9)SUNYAC84.0W14- 7 0.00  
3/16vs. St. Lawrence # (13-4)Liberty90.716L10-15 0.00  
3/21vs. Western New England # (17-3)Commonwealth91.59L9-10 0.00  
3/25CORTLAND (19-2)SUNYAC94.14L10-17 0.00  
3/27ELMIRA (1-13)Empire 879.4W28- 7 0.00  
4/01UTICA (8-7)Empire 882.7W21- 7 0.00  
4/04at Hartwick (6-8)Empire 884.1W11- 6 0.00  
4/11ITHACA (14-2)Empire 890.18L5-10 0.00  
4/15at St. John Fisher (15-3)Empire 887.9L12-13 0.00  
4/19STEVENS (12-6)Empire 889.4L10-20 0.00  
4/22at Alfred (8-7)Empire 881.2W13- 6 0.00  
4/25at RIT (10-6)Empire 888.2W12-10 0.00  
4/28KEUKA (8-7)North Eastern81.3W20-11 0.00  
5/01at Ithaca (14-2)Empire 890.18W13-12ot-0.65  
5/03at St. John Fisher (15-3)Empire 887.9W9- 4 0.00  
5/06at St. Lawrence (13-4)Liberty90.716L7-14 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 87.5     -1.05  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/01ASpringfield9-81   -1       +1.93       2.19
3/07HGeneseo14-122   -2       ++-1.93       4.41
3/13AOswego14-77   5       +1.93       2.50
3/16NSt. Lawrence10-15-5   -1       ––0.00       -4.10
3/21NWestern New England9-10-1   -1       0.00       0.41
3/25HCortland10-17-7   -3       ––-1.93       -4.15
3/27HElmira28-721   14       +++-1.93       7.27
4/01HUtica21-714   10       ++-1.93       4.40
4/04AHartwick11-65   4       1.93       1.27
4/11HIthaca5-10-5   2       –––-1.93       -6.59
4/15ASt. John Fisher12-13-1   0       1.93       -1.43
4/19HStevens10-20-10   2       –––-1.93       -11.89
4/22AAlfred13-67   6       1.93       0.77
4/25ARIT12-102   0       +1.93       2.32
4/28HKeuka20-119   10       -1.93       -1.05
5/01AIthaca13-121   -2       +1.93       3.27
5/03ASt. John Fisher9-45   0       ++1.93       4.57
5/06ASt. Lawrence7-14-7   -3       ––1.93       -4.17
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/27HElmira28-7-7.27
4/01HUtica21-7-4.40
4/19HStevens10-200.00
10-goal correction: -0.65

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 56.00   Local TSI Rank 17
Local Poll Vote 23.   Local Poll Rank 19
Local Power Rating 89.13   Local Power Rank 24
Local SOS Rating 86.40   Local SOS Rank 17
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 16
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 18
Local Quality Win Rating -1.05   Local Quality Win Rank 14
Local Loss Rating 1.40   Local Loss Rank 30
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -7.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -3.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.3



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