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Northern Colorado Bears (14-1)

Conference: RMLC EastState: COCoach: David Wakefield

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore QWF
3/07vs. Dordt # (5-7)GRLC Northwes60.7W22- 0 0.00  
3/08at Nebraska (9-4)GRLC 1AA67.6W20-11 0.00  
3/11REGIS (1-6)RMLC East52.1W24- 1 0.00  
3/14vs. Minnesota St. Moorhead # (5-7)UMLL 264.1W19- 4 0.00  
3/16NORTH DAKOTA STATE (7-6)UMLL 265.1W17- 4 0.00  
3/28WESTERN STATE (1-7)RMLC West55.8W28- 0 0.00  
4/04vs. Utah Valley State # (5-4)RMLC West69.424W15- 9 -0.08  
4/05at Northern Arizona (4-6)RMLC West68.0W12- 6 0.00  
4/11at Metropolitan State (7-3)RMLC East71.418W18-13 -0.32  
4/19MONTANA STATE (7-7)RMLC East69.2W12-10 0.00  
4/24FORT LEWIS (6-6)RMLC West69.319W17- 9 -0.28  
5/01vs. Montana State # (7-7)RMLC East69.2W13- 3 0.00  
5/02vs. Westminster # (13-8)RMLC West72.09W16-13 -0.68  
5/12vs. Stonehill # (6-9)PCLL North70.220W14- 9 -0.24  
5/13vs. St. John's (MN) # (12-3)UMLL 275.45L9-13 0.00  
# Neutral site 66.6     -1.60  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/07NDordt22-022   16       +++0.00       6.12
3/08ANebraska20-119   6       +1.54       2.56
3/11HRegis24-123   26       -1.65       -3.38
3/14NMinnesota St. Moorhead19-415   12       +0.00       2.93
3/16HNorth Dakota State17-413   13       -1.65       0.14
3/28HWestern State28-028   23       ++-1.65       4.61
4/04NUtah Valley State15-96   6       0.00       -0.04
4/05ANorthern Arizona12-66   6       1.65       -0.49
4/11AMetropolitan State18-135   4       1.65       1.36
4/19HMontana State12-102   9       –––-1.65       -6.77
4/24HFort Lewis17-98   8       -1.65       0.31
5/01NMontana State13-310   7       +0.00       2.88
5/02NWestminster16-133   4       0.00       -1.24
5/12NStonehill14-95   6       0.00       -1.08
5/13NSt. John's (MN)9-13-4   1       ––0.00       -5.35
         0.002.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/07NDordt22-0-6.12
3/11HRegis24-13.38
3/14NMinnesota St. Moorhead19-4-2.93
3/16HNorth Dakota State17-4-0.14
3/28HWestern State28-0-4.61
5/01NMontana State13-30.00
10-goal correction: -0.69

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 45.00   Local TSI Rank 12
Local Poll Vote 487.   Local Poll Rank 6
Local Power Rating 75.63   Local Power Rank 7
Local SOS Rating 66.91   Local SOS Rank 52
Local RPI Rating 0.64   Local RPI Rank 7
Local Trend Rating 1.00   Local Trend Rank 11
Local Quality Win Rating -1.60   Local Quality Win Rank 9
Local Loss Rating 0.20   Local Loss Rank 4
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 14-1   Ave Goal diff (all ) 10.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-1   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 1.3



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