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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (4-6)

Conference: RMLC WestState: AZCoach: Troy Elliott

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore QWF
2/06at St. Edward's (5-4)LSA 261.0W7- 5 0.00  
2/07vs. Sam Houston State # (6-5)LSA 260.4W14- 8 0.00  
2/28WESTERN STATE (1-7)RMLC West55.8W22- 5 0.00  
3/07at Westminster (13-8)RMLC West72.09L6- 9 0.00  
3/08at Utah (6-8)RMLC 177.4L5-11 0.00  
4/03UTAH VALLEY STATE (5-4)RMLC West69.424W7- 5 -0.08  
4/05NORTHERN COLORADO (14-1)RMLC East75.66L6-12 0.00  
4/10at Fort Lewis (6-6)RMLC West69.319L13-142ot0.00  
4/18vs. Montana State # (7-7)RMLC East69.2L9-16 0.00  
4/30vs. Metropolitan State # (7-3)RMLC East71.418L8- 9 0.00  
# Neutral site 67.1     -0.08  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/06ASt. Edward's7-52   6       –1.65       -4.00
2/07NSam Houston State14-86   8       0.00       -1.90
2/28HWestern State22-517   15       -1.65       1.75
3/07AWestminster6-9-3   -6       +1.65       2.55
3/08AUtah5-11-6   -11       ++1.54       4.92
4/03HUtah Valley State7-52   0       +-1.65       2.46
4/05HNorthern Colorado6-12-6   -6       -1.65       0.49
4/10AFort Lewis13-14-1   -4       +1.65       2.76
4/18NMontana State9-16-7   -1       ––0.00       -5.98
4/30NMetropolitan State8-9-1   -3       0.00       1.85
         0.004.92

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/28HWestern State22-5-1.75
10-goal correction: -0.18

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 99.00   Local TSI Rank 31
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 68.00   Local Power Rank 33
Local SOS Rating 68.54   Local SOS Rank 30
Local RPI Rating 0.54   Local RPI Rank 31
Local Trend Rating 4.00   Local Trend Rank 82
Local Quality Win Rating -0.08   Local Quality Win Rank 39
Local Loss Rating 1.40   Local Loss Rank 44
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 4-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.3
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-0   Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -3.0



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