| Conference: North Coast | Region: South | State: OH | Coach: Sean Ryan |
#14 Denison Rolls by Ohio Wesleyan to Advance in NCAAs
Another fast start for the Denison offense combined with some stout play on defense resulted in a convincing 12-2 victory over Ohio Wesleyan University on Wednesday in the opening round of the 2009 NCAA Men's Division III tournament. With the win, Denison advances to the NCAA's second round which will be played in Salem, Va. against No. 3 Roanoke on Saturday (May 9) at 1:00 p.m. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/20 | H | Hendrix | 26- | 1 | 25 | 26 | | -1.93 | -0.68 | |
2/22 | H | Fontbonne | 17- | 3 | 14 | 17 | | -1.93 | -3.16 | |
2/28 | A | Lynchburg | 8- | 9 | -1 | -1 | | 1.93 | 0.09 | |
3/08 | A | Salisbury | 8- | 15 | -7 | -7 | | 1.93 | 0.46 | |
3/11 | A | Gettysburg | 6- | 11 | -5 | -5 | | 1.93 | 0.22 | |
3/18 | H | Mount St. Joseph | 16- | 3 | 13 | 16 | | -1.93 | -2.81 | |
3/25 | A | Adrian | 14- | 7 | 7 | 7 | | 1.93 | -0.07 | |
4/01 | H | Oberlin | 24- | 3 | 21 | 20 | | -1.93 | 1.03 | |
4/05 | H | Denison | 9- | 17 | -8 | -1 | | -1.93 | -6.51 | |
4/08 | H | Saint Vincent | 25- | 7 | 18 | 11 | +++ | -1.93 | 6.54 | |
4/12 | H | Colorado College | 21- | 9 | 12 | 7 | ++ | -1.93 | 4.79 | |
4/18 | H | Kenyon | 11- | 6 | 5 | 5 | | -1.93 | 0.03 | |
4/29 | A | Wooster | 11- | 5 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.93 | 3.28 | |
5/02 | A | Wittenberg | 13- | 7 | 6 | 5 | | 1.93 | 1.44 | |
5/06 | A | Denison | 2- | 12 | -10 | -5 | | 1.93 | -4.64 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/20 | H | Hendrix | 26- | 1 | 0.68 |
2/22 | H | Fontbonne | 17- | 3 | 3.16 |
3/18 | H | Mount St. Joseph | 16- | 3 | 2.81 |
4/01 | H | Oberlin | 24- | 3 | -1.03 |
4/08 | H | Saint Vincent | 25- | 7 | -6.54 |
4/12 | H | Colorado College | 21- | 9 | -2.00 |
5/06 | A | Denison | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.19 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 102.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 30 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 90.24 | | Local Power Rank | 16 |
| Local SOS Rating | 83.10 | | Local SOS Rank | 51 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 33 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 19 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 21 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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