| Conference: WCLL 1 | | State: CA | Coach: Dan Nourse |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | QWF |
|---|
1/31 | at UC Davis (4-9) | WCLL 1 | 75.0 | | W | 17- | 12 | | 0.00 |
2/07 | DOMINICAN U. (6-9) | Independent | 63.5 | | W | 22- | 3 | | 0.00 |
2/14 | vs. Oregon State # (6-6) | PNCLL 1 | 73.3 | | W | 15- | 5 | | 0.00 |
2/15 | vs. USC # (3-13) | SLC North/Wes | 71.1 | | W | 10- | 3 | | 0.00 |
2/21 | SAN DIEGO (8-8) | SLC South/Eas | 73.5 | | W | 14- | 6 | | 0.00 |
2/28 | SONOMA STATE (11-7) | WCLL 1 | 80.1 | 10 | W | 13- | 12 | | -0.64 |
3/06 | SANTA CLARA (11-5) | WCLL 1 | 78.6 | 25 | W | 10- | 9 | | -0.04 |
3/13 | ST. MARY'S (CA) (6-12) | WCLL 2 | 64.1 | | W | 20- | 1 | | 0.00 |
3/21 | at UCLA (5-7) | SLC North/Wes | 73.3 | | W | 13- | 7 | | 0.00 |
3/22 | at Chapman (18-3) | SLC North/Wes | 87.4 | 3 | L | 8- | 20 | | 0.00 |
3/25 | BOISE STATE (7-6) | PNCLL 1 | 73.1 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.00 |
4/04 | CAL POLY - SLO (12-4) | WCLL 1 | 81.7 | 7 | W | 10- | 9 | ot | -0.76 |
4/11 | NEVADA (1-11) | WCLL 1 | 62.5 | | W | 27- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/12 | at Chico State (8-7) | WCLL 1 | 75.7 | | W | 17- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | SAN JOSE STATE (4-10) | WCLL 1 | 62.8 | | W | 20- | 3 | | 0.00 |
4/25 | at Stanford (9-5) | WCLL 1 | 78.0 | 20 | L | 9- | 10 | | 0.00 |
5/02 | vs. Sonoma State # (11-7) | WCLL 1 | 80.1 | 10 | L | 10- | 13 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 75.1 | | | | | | -1.44 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
1/31 | A | UC Davis | 17- | 12 | 5 | 4 | | 1.43 | 1.13 | |
2/07 | H | Dominican U. | 22- | 3 | 19 | 18 | | -1.74 | | 0.72 |
2/14 | N | Oregon State | 15- | 5 | 10 | 7 | + | 0.00 | 3.13 | |
2/15 | N | USC | 10- | 3 | 7 | 9 | | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
2/21 | H | San Diego | 14- | 6 | 8 | 8 | | -1.43 | -0.04 | |
2/28 | H | Sonoma State | 13- | 12 | 1 | 1 | | -1.43 | -0.49 | |
3/06 | H | Santa Clara | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | – | -1.43 | -2.34 | |
3/13 | H | St. Mary's (CA) | 20- | 1 | 19 | 18 | | -1.54 | | 1.50 |
3/21 | A | UCLA | 13- | 7 | 6 | 6 | | 1.43 | 0.45 | |
3/22 | A | Chapman | 8- | 20 | -12 | -9 | – | 1.43 | -2.80 | |
3/25 | H | Boise State | 11- | 6 | 5 | 8 | – | -1.43 | -3.11 | |
4/04 | H | Cal Poly - SLO | 10- | 9 | 1 | 0 | | -1.43 | 1.21 | |
4/11 | H | Nevada | 27- | 3 | 24 | 19 | ++ | -1.43 | 4.67 | |
4/12 | A | Chico State | 17- | 8 | 9 | 2 | +++ | 1.43 | 6.57 | |
4/18 | H | San Jose State | 20- | 3 | 17 | 19 | | -1.43 | -1.77 | |
4/25 | A | Stanford | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | | 1.43 | -1.93 | |
5/02 | N | Sonoma State | 10- | 13 | -3 | 0 | – | 0.00 | -3.06 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 2.21 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/07 | H | Dominican U. | 22- | 3 | -0.72 |
2/14 | N | Oregon State | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
3/13 | H | St. Mary's (CA) | 20- | 1 | -1.50 |
3/22 | A | Chapman | 8- | 20 | 2.00 |
4/11 | H | Nevada | 27- | 3 | -4.67 |
4/18 | H | San Jose State | 20- | 3 | 1.77 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.18 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 80.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 25 |
| Local Poll Vote | 267. | | Local Poll Rank | 15 |
| Local Power Rating | 80.03 | | Local Power Rank | 18 |
| Local SOS Rating | 73.19 | | Local SOS Rank | 51 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.57 | | Local RPI Rank | 21 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 26 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.44 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 10 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -12.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.3 |
|
