| Conference: Capital | Region: South | State: MD | Coach: Paul Cantabene |
#5 Gettysburg Upends #1 Stevenson to Advance to Title Game
OWINGS MILLS, Md. - Gettysburg goalie Zach Furshman, brother of Stevenson University men's lacrosse senior Greg Furshman (Miami, Fla./Towson), totaled 15 saves, including 13 in the second half, to help lead the fifth-ranked Bullets to a 12-7 win over the No. 1-ranked Mustangs Sunday in the semifinals of the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/21 | H | Widener | 7- | 6 | 1 | 9 | | -1.93 | -8.45 | |
2/28 | A | Stevens | 9- | 7 | 2 | 3 | | 1.93 | -0.54 | |
3/04 | H | Gettysburg | 16- | 6 | 10 | 3 | +++ | -1.93 | 7.48 | |
3/07 | A | Ursinus | 16- | 7 | 9 | 7 | + | 1.93 | 2.20 | |
3/11 | A | St. Mary's | 13- | 4 | 9 | 5 | ++ | 1.93 | 4.24 | |
3/14 | H | Mary Washington | 17- | 4 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.93 | 2.61 | |
3/17 | H | Wooster | 19- | 3 | 16 | 10 | ++ | -1.93 | 5.55 | |
3/21 | H | Lynchburg | 12- | 10 | 2 | 7 | | -1.93 | -4.64 | |
3/28 | H | Wesley | 12- | 11 | 1 | 10 | | -1.93 | -9.02 | |
4/01 | A | York | 18- | 7 | 11 | 8 | + | 1.93 | 3.41 | |
4/04 | A | Salisbury | 12- | 8 | 4 | -4 | +++ | 1.93 | 7.59 | |
4/07 | H | Marymount | 13- | 3 | 10 | 12 | | -1.93 | -2.28 | |
4/10 | H | Hood | 26- | 1 | 25 | 25 | | -1.93 | -0.19 | |
4/16 | H | Wesley | 19- | 4 | 15 | 10 | ++ | -1.93 | 4.98 | |
4/19 | H | Salisbury | 5- | 13 | -8 | 0 | | -1.93 | -8.28 | |
5/02 | A | Denison | 12- | 9 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 1.93 | 4.49 | |
5/09 | H | Cabrini | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | | -1.93 | -3.34 | |
5/13 | H | Salisbury | 11- | 9 | 2 | 0 | | -1.93 | 1.72 | |
5/17 | H | Gettysburg | 7- | 12 | -5 | 3 | | -1.93 | -7.52 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/04 | H | Gettysburg | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
3/14 | H | Mary Washington | 17- | 4 | -2.61 |
3/17 | H | Wooster | 19- | 3 | -5.55 |
4/01 | A | York | 18- | 7 | -1.00 |
4/07 | H | Marymount | 13- | 3 | 2.28 |
4/10 | H | Hood | 26- | 1 | 0.19 |
4/16 | H | Wesley | 19- | 4 | -4.98 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.61 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | -8.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 174. | | Local Poll Rank | 1 |
| Local Power Rating | 93.69 | | Local Power Rank | 4 |
| Local SOS Rating | 87.59 | | Local SOS Rank | 7 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.70 | | Local RPI Rank | 2 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 62 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.40 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 4 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 5 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 17-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -0.7 |
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