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Stevenson Mustangs (17-2)

Conference: CapitalRegion: SouthState: MDCoach: Paul Cantabene

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#5 Gettysburg Upends #1 Stevenson to Advance to Title Game

OWINGS MILLS, Md. - Gettysburg goalie Zach Furshman, brother of Stevenson University men's lacrosse senior Greg Furshman (Miami, Fla./Towson), totaled 15 saves, including 13 in the second half, to help lead the fifth-ranked Bullets to a 12-7 win over the No. 1-ranked Mustangs Sunday in the semifinals of the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/21WIDENER (10-9)Middle Atlant86.6W7- 6 0.00  
2/28at Stevens (12-6)Empire 889.4W9- 7 0.00  
3/04GETTYSBURG (16-4)Centennial93.75W16- 6 -0.80  
3/07at Ursinus (6-9)Centennial85.6W16- 7 0.00  
3/11at St. Mary's (8-7)Capital87.7W13- 4 0.00  
3/14MARY WASHINGTON (8-7)Capital86.0W17- 4 0.00  
3/17WOOSTER (7-6)North Coast85.9W19- 3 0.00  
3/21LYNCHBURG (11-5)Old Dominion89.720W12-10 -0.05  
3/28WESLEY (11-6)Capital86.5W12-11 0.00  
4/01at York (8-7)Capital85.0W18- 7 0.00  
4/04at Salisbury (16-4)Capital94.92W12- 8 -0.95  
4/07MARYMOUNT (5-8)Capital83.8W13- 3 0.00  
4/10HOOD (1-13)Capital72.1W26- 1 0.00  
4/16WESLEY (11-6)Capital86.5W19- 4 0.00  
4/19SALISBURY (16-4)Capital94.92L5-13 0.00  
5/02at Denison (14-3)North Coast93.414W12- 9 -0.35  
5/09CABRINI (15-4)CSAC92.115W8- 7 -0.30  
5/13SALISBURY (16-4)Capital94.92W11- 9 -0.95  
5/17GETTYSBURG (16-4)Centennial93.75L7-12 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 88.5     -3.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/21HWidener7-61   9       –––-1.93       -8.45
2/28AStevens9-72   3       1.93       -0.54
3/04HGettysburg16-610   3       +++-1.93       7.48
3/07AUrsinus16-79   7       +1.93       2.20
3/11ASt. Mary's13-49   5       ++1.93       4.24
3/14HMary Washington17-413   10       +-1.93       2.61
3/17HWooster19-316   10       ++-1.93       5.55
3/21HLynchburg12-102   7       ––-1.93       -4.64
3/28HWesley12-111   10       –––-1.93       -9.02
4/01AYork18-711   8       +1.93       3.41
4/04ASalisbury12-84   -4       +++1.93       7.59
4/07HMarymount13-310   12       -1.93       -2.28
4/10HHood26-125   25       -1.93       -0.19
4/16HWesley19-415   10       ++-1.93       4.98
4/19HSalisbury5-13-8   0       –––-1.93       -8.28
5/02ADenison12-93   -1       ++1.93       4.49
5/09HCabrini8-71   4       -1.93       -3.34
5/13HSalisbury11-92   0       -1.93       1.72
5/17HGettysburg7-12-5   3       –––-1.93       -7.52
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/04HGettysburg16-60.00
3/14HMary Washington17-4-2.61
3/17HWooster19-3-5.55
4/01AYork18-7-1.00
4/07HMarymount13-32.28
4/10HHood26-10.19
4/16HWesley19-4-4.98
10-goal correction: -0.61

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating -8.00   Local TSI Rank 2
Local Poll Vote 174.   Local Poll Rank 1
Local Power Rating 93.69   Local Power Rank 4
Local SOS Rating 87.59   Local SOS Rank 7
Local RPI Rating 0.70   Local RPI Rank 2
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 62
Local Quality Win Rating -3.40   Local Quality Win Rank 4
Local Loss Rating 0.40   Local Loss Rank 5
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 17-2   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.6
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 0.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 1.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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