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Williams Ephmen (7-7)

Conference: NESCACRegion: NorthState: MACoach: George McCormack

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#17 Wesleyan Wins NESCAC Quarterfinal over #20 Williams

MIDDLETOWN, Conn. (Sunday, April 26, 2009) -- Just eight days after the teams met in Middletown during the regular season, Wesleyan and Williams did battle again as first-round opponents in the NESCAC tournament for the second time in the last four years.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/07at Colby (8-7)NESCAC87.6L7- 9 0.00  
3/10ENDICOTT (18-4)Commonwealth88.017L7-10 0.00  
3/15BATES (4-9)NESCAC85.4W10- 2 0.00  
3/21TUFTS (13-5)NESCAC92.112L9-13 0.00  
3/25at Roanoke (17-2)Old Dominion92.23L16-17ot0.00  
3/28at Trinity (10-6)NESCAC89.4L3- 6 0.00  
4/01at Connecticut College (6-9)NESCAC87.3W11- 7 0.00  
4/04AMHERST (6-8)NESCAC87.8W8- 4 0.00  
4/07SKIDMORE (9-6)Liberty89.1W12- 8 0.00  
4/11BOWDOIN (10-6)NESCAC91.418W10- 7 -0.15  
4/14UNION (8-7)Liberty86.6W8- 7 0.00  
4/18at Wesleyan (15-4)NESCAC90.610W9- 5 -0.55  
4/24at Middlebury (15-3)NESCAC91.67L11-13 0.00  
4/26at Wesleyan (15-4)NESCAC90.610L5-11 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
 89.3     -0.70  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/07AColby7-9-2   0       1.93       -2.41
3/10HEndicott7-10-3   3       –––-1.93       -6.48
3/15HBates10-28   7       -1.93       0.79
3/21HTufts9-13-4   -1       -1.93       -2.89
3/25ARoanoke16-17-1   -5       ++1.93       4.38
3/28ATrinity3-6-3   -2       1.93       -1.37
4/01AConnecticut College11-74   1       +1.93       3.49
4/04HAmherst8-44   4       -1.93       -0.04
4/07HSkidmore12-84   3       -1.93       0.94
4/11HBowdoin10-73   1       +-1.93       2.48
4/14HUnion8-71   5       ––-1.93       -4.16
4/18AWesleyan9-54   -3       +++1.93       6.86
4/24AMiddlebury11-13-2   -4       1.93       1.54
4/26AWesleyan5-11-6   -3       1.93       -3.14
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
10-goal correction: 0.00

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 48.00   Local TSI Rank 14
Local Poll Vote n/a   Local Poll Rank n/a
Local Power Rating 89.95   Local Power Rank 19
Local SOS Rating 88.40   Local SOS Rank 3
Local RPI Rating 0.60   Local RPI Rank 24
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 69
Local Quality Win Rating -0.70   Local Quality Win Rank 21
Local Loss Rating 1.60   Local Loss Rank 39
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 7-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 0.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -1.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -1.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -1.3



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