| Conference: PNCLL South | | State: OR | Coach: Dave Homma |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
2/07 | H | Southern Oregon | 8- | 10 | -2 | 6 | | -1.65 | -7.63 | |
2/08 | H | Portland | 21- | 2 | 19 | 20 | | -1.65 | -0.84 | |
2/15 | H | Humboldt State | 23- | 0 | 23 | -4 | +++ | -1.95 | | 26.65 |
2/21 | A | Whitman | 20- | 13 | 7 | 1 | ++ | 1.65 | 5.60 | |
2/28 | H | Western Washington | 12- | 3 | 9 | 4 | ++ | -1.65 | 4.68 | |
3/01 | H | Central Washington | 18- | 8 | 10 | 11 | | -1.65 | -1.21 | |
3/07 | H | Puget Sound | 17- | 4 | 13 | 14 | | -1.65 | -0.55 | |
3/08 | H | Pacific Lutheran | 16- | 4 | 12 | 9 | + | -1.65 | 3.33 | |
3/23 | A | Utah Valley State | 14- | 15 | -1 | -1 | | 1.65 | -0.31 | |
3/25 | A | Westminster | 9- | 12 | -3 | -2 | | 1.65 | -0.51 | |
3/26 | A | Utah State | 8- | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 1.54 | | 0.94 |
4/05 | A | C. of Idaho | 9- | 5 | 4 | 9 | | 1.65 | -4.58 | |
4/11 | A | Willamette | 17- | 4 | 13 | 12 | | 1.65 | 0.98 | |
4/25 | H | Pacific Lutheran | 15- | 5 | 10 | 9 | | -1.65 | 1.33 | |
5/02 | N | Western Washington | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | | 0.00 | -1.67 | |
5/03 | N | Whitman | 10- | 9 | 1 | 3 | | 0.00 | -2.05 | |
5/12 | N | Southwestern | 9- | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 0.00 | 1.13 | |
5/13 | N | Dayton | 9- | 14 | -5 | -7 | + | 0.00 | 2.30 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 27.59 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
2/08 | H | Portland | 21- | 2 | 0.84 |
2/15 | H | Humboldt State | 23- | 0 | 0.00 |
3/01 | H | Central Washington | 18- | 8 | 1.21 |
3/07 | H | Puget Sound | 17- | 4 | 0.55 |
3/08 | H | Pacific Lutheran | 16- | 4 | -2.00 |
4/11 | A | Willamette | 17- | 4 | -0.98 |
4/25 | H | Pacific Lutheran | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.02 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 71.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 19 |
| Local Poll Vote | 307. | | Local Poll Rank | 11 |
| Local Power Rating | 71.22 | | Local Power Rank | 20 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.97 | | Local SOS Rank | 50 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.60 | | Local RPI Rank | 15 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 18 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.96 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 40 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 6.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.0 |
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