Mon Jul 13 15:19:43 EDT 2009
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 MD1 2.76 444 104 86 72 67 49 66 MD2 3.32 247 59 37 32 41 17 61 MD3 3.11 1191 237 228 189 160 138 240 JUCO 4.24 211 31 32 35 34 17 62 MCLA A 3.72 759 144 139 102 99 90 185 MCLA B 4.09 648 117 107 103 87 62 172 NCLL 2.91 423 108 104 66 52 28 66 GLLL 2.63 134 38 24 16 25 17 15 Other 7.57 182 42 19 15 15 5 86 ALL 3.13 317 67 72 56 28 24 70 CUFLA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MUFLL 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 TOTAL 3.26 4221 904 808 661 575 418 858 total games............... = 4221 ave error (goals)......... = 3.26 total upsets.............. = 574 % of games within 1 goal.. = 21.42 % of games within 2 goals. = 40.56 % of games within 3 goals. = 56.22 % of games within 4 goals. = 69.84 % of games within 5 goals. = 79.74 % of games > 5 goals. = 20.33
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