| Conference: Liberty League | Region: New York | State: NY | Coach: Patti Kloidt |
First-Half Run Carries #2 F&M by Hamilton to Title Game
SALEM, Va. - For the first ten minutes of a rematch of last year's championship game, it looked like déjà vu all over again. Sarah Bray and her #5 Hamilton Continentals opened Saturday's NCAA Division III semifinal game building a quick 4-1 lead on #2 Franklin & Marshall. Unlike last year's championship, the Diplomats responded. An 8-0 first half run lifted the Diplomats (20-1) past the Continentals (16-3) and advanced F&M to the NCAA Division III Championship game for the third time in as many years. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/10 | H | Nazareth | 15- | 6 | 9 | 12 | | -1.77 | -2.64 | |
3/13 | A | Utica | 17- | 9 | 8 | 7 | | 1.77 | 0.80 | |
3/18 | N | Salisbury | 9- | 12 | -3 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.47 | |
3/19 | N | Rowan | 17- | 9 | 8 | 7 | | 0.00 | 0.85 | |
3/24 | H | Cortland | 12- | 11 | 1 | 4 | | -1.77 | -2.76 | |
3/27 | H | Vassar | 18- | 6 | 12 | 13 | | -1.77 | -0.93 | |
3/28 | H | Rensselaer | 15- | 5 | 10 | 10 | | -1.77 | -0.44 | |
4/03 | A | Clarkson | 21- | 7 | 14 | 10 | ++ | 1.77 | 4.29 | |
4/04 | A | St. Lawrence | 14- | 4 | 10 | 8 | + | 1.77 | 2.48 | |
4/10 | H | William Smith | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | -1.77 | -2.41 | |
4/15 | A | Ithaca | 16- | 8 | 8 | 7 | | 1.77 | 1.43 | |
4/17 | H | Rochester | 19- | 10 | 9 | 10 | | -1.77 | -0.58 | |
4/24 | A | Union | 4- | 15 | -11 | -1 | | 1.77 | -10.35 | |
4/25 | A | Skidmore | 17- | 5 | 12 | 9 | + | 1.77 | 2.95 | |
5/01 | N | William Smith | 14- | 8 | 6 | 2 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.37 | |
5/02 | A | Union | 4- | 3 | 1 | -1 | | 1.77 | 1.65 | |
5/09 | N | Williams | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -1.48 | |
5/10 | N | Middlebury | 13- | 9 | 4 | 0 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.05 | |
5/16 | N | Franklin & Marshall | 13- | 16 | -3 | -2 | | 0.00 | -0.80 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/27 | H | Vassar | 18- | 6 | 0.93 |
3/28 | H | Rensselaer | 15- | 5 | 0.44 |
4/03 | A | Clarkson | 21- | 7 | -4.29 |
4/04 | A | St. Lawrence | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/24 | A | Union | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
4/25 | A | Skidmore | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.21 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | -8.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 2 |
| Local Poll Vote | 345. | | Local Poll Rank | 3 |
| Local Power Rating | 87.36 | | Local Power Rank | 4 |
| Local SOS Rating | 82.17 | | Local SOS Rank | 3 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.69 | | Local RPI Rank | 4 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 22 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.05 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 4 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.60 | | Local Loss Rank | 10 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-3 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.7 |
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