| Conference: NESCAC | Region: New England | State: VT | Coach: Missy Foote |
#5 Hamilton Tops #9 Middlebury to Return to Final Four
WATERVILLE, Maine -- Defending NCAA Division III champion Hamilton College is back in the national semifinals after the Continentals defeated Middlebury College 13-9 in an NCAA regional final at Colby College's Bill Alfond Field on May 10. Nationally ranked No. 5 Hamilton (16-2 overall) won its fifth straight game overall and has recorded six consecutive victories in the NCAA tournament. [full story]
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| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/07 | A | Bates | 14- | 6 | 8 | 5 | + | 1.77 | 3.38 | |
3/13 | H | Babson | 11- | 8 | 3 | 5 | | -1.77 | -1.92 | |
3/17 | H | Wesleyan (CT) | 15- | 5 | 10 | 8 | | -1.77 | 1.96 | |
3/21 | A | Connecticut College | 19- | 6 | 13 | 7 | +++ | 1.77 | 6.07 | |
3/24 | A | Washington & Lee | 10- | 11 | -1 | 3 | | 1.77 | -4.04 | |
3/27 | N | Colby | 9- | 10 | -1 | 1 | | 0.00 | -1.72 | |
4/04 | H | Bowdoin | 16- | 9 | 7 | 9 | | -1.77 | -1.58 | |
4/09 | A | Union | 8- | 12 | -4 | -1 | | 1.77 | -3.41 | |
4/11 | A | Tufts | 7- | 12 | -5 | 0 | | 1.77 | -4.96 | |
4/15 | H | Amherst | 10- | 8 | 2 | 8 | | -1.77 | -5.97 | |
4/18 | H | Trinity (CT) | 18- | 9 | 9 | 5 | ++ | -1.77 | 4.28 | |
4/24 | A | Williams | 18- | 12 | 6 | 1 | ++ | 1.77 | 5.24 | |
4/26 | H | Bates | 18- | 4 | 14 | 8 | ++ | -1.77 | 5.83 | |
5/02 | N | Colby | 12- | 17 | -5 | 1 | | 0.00 | -5.72 | |
5/06 | H | Keene State | 18- | 2 | 16 | 16 | | -1.77 | -0.47 | |
5/09 | A | Colby | 9- | 3 | 6 | -1 | +++ | 1.77 | 7.06 | |
5/10 | N | Hamilton | 9- | 13 | -4 | 0 | | 0.00 | -4.05 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/17 | H | Wesleyan (CT) | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
3/21 | A | Connecticut College | 19- | 6 | -3.00 |
4/26 | H | Bates | 18- | 4 | -4.00 |
5/06 | H | Keene State | 18- | 2 | 0.47 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.38 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 3.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 5 |
| Local Poll Vote | 276. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 87.23 | | Local Power Rank | 6 |
| Local SOS Rating | 83.07 | | Local SOS Rank | 1 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.66 | | Local RPI Rank | 10 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 57 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -1.80 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 9 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 25 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -2.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 0.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.0 |
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