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Middlebury Panthers (11-6)

Conference: NESCACRegion: New EnglandState: VTCoach: Missy Foote

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#5 Hamilton Tops #9 Middlebury to Return to Final Four

WATERVILLE, Maine -- Defending NCAA Division III champion Hamilton College is back in the national semifinals after the Continentals defeated Middlebury College 13-9 in an NCAA regional final at Colby College's Bill Alfond Field on May 10. Nationally ranked No. 5 Hamilton (16-2 overall) won its fifth straight game overall and has recorded six consecutive victories in the NCAA tournament.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
3/07at Bates (8-8)NESCAC81.3W14- 6 0.00  
3/13BABSON (15-3)NEWMAC84.213W11- 8 -0.40  
3/17WESLEYAN (CT) (6-9)NESCAC81.4W15- 5 0.00  
3/21at Connecticut College (4-10)NESCAC78.7W19- 6 0.00  
3/24at Washington & Lee (13-5)Old Dominion83.3L10-11 0.00  
3/27vs. Colby # (16-2)NESCAC87.08L9-102ot0.00  
4/04BOWDOIN (8-7)NESCAC80.7W16- 9 0.00  
4/09at Union (15-4)Liberty Leagu86.08L8-12 0.00  
4/11at Tufts (16-3)NESCAC85.67L7-12 0.00  
4/15AMHERST (6-8)NESCAC81.4W10- 8 0.00  
4/18TRINITY (CT) (10-4)NESCAC84.616W18- 9 -0.25  
4/24at Williams (13-7)NESCAC85.311W18-12 -0.50  
4/26BATES (8-8)NESCAC81.3W18- 4 0.00  
5/02vs. Colby # (16-2)NESCAC87.08L12-17 0.00  
5/06KEENE STATE (12-8)Little East72.7W18- 2 0.00  
5/09at Colby (16-2)NESCAC87.08W9- 3 -0.65  
5/10vs. Hamilton # (16-3)Liberty Leagu87.43L9-13 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 83.2     -1.80  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/07ABates14-68   5       +1.77       3.38
3/13HBabson11-83   5       -1.77       -1.92
3/17HWesleyan (CT)15-510   8       -1.77       1.96
3/21AConnecticut College19-613   7       +++1.77       6.07
3/24AWashington & Lee10-11-1   3       ––1.77       -4.04
3/27NColby9-10-1   1       0.00       -1.72
4/04HBowdoin16-97   9       -1.77       -1.58
4/09AUnion8-12-4   -1       1.77       -3.41
4/11ATufts7-12-5   0       ––1.77       -4.96
4/15HAmherst10-82   8       ––-1.77       -5.97
4/18HTrinity (CT)18-99   5       ++-1.77       4.28
4/24AWilliams18-126   1       ++1.77       5.24
4/26HBates18-414   8       ++-1.77       5.83
5/02NColby12-17-5   1       ––0.00       -5.72
5/06HKeene State18-216   16       -1.77       -0.47
5/09AColby9-36   -1       +++1.77       7.06
5/10NHamilton9-13-4   0       ––0.00       -4.05
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/17HWesleyan (CT)15-50.00
3/21AConnecticut College19-6-3.00
4/26HBates18-4-4.00
5/06HKeene State18-20.47
10-goal correction: -0.38

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating 3.00   Local TSI Rank 5
Local Poll Vote 276.   Local Poll Rank 6
Local Power Rating 87.23   Local Power Rank 6
Local SOS Rating 83.07   Local SOS Rank 1
Local RPI Rating 0.66   Local RPI Rank 10
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 57
Local Quality Win Rating -1.80   Local Quality Win Rank 9
Local Loss Rating 1.20   Local Loss Rank 25
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 0.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.0



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