| Team Page Links: • 2009 • |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/28 | H | Anne Arundel | 9- | 8 | 1 | 5 | | -0.01 | -4.36 | |
3/29 | H | Catonsville | 11- | 9 | 2 | 1 | | -0.01 | 0.93 | |
3/31 | H | Cayuga | 22- | 1 | 21 | 23 | | -0.01 | -1.70 | |
4/05 | H | Jefferson | 21- | 12 | 9 | 7 | | -0.01 | 1.93 | |
4/07 | H | Erie | 22- | 4 | 18 | 26 | | -0.01 | -7.56 | |
4/11 | A | Herkimer | 18- | 3 | 15 | 15 | | 0.01 | -0.45 | |
4/15 | H | Broome | 27- | 1 | 26 | 23 | + | -0.01 | 2.61 | |
4/17 | A | Nassau | 17- | 4 | 13 | 9 | + | 0.01 | 3.76 | |
4/18 | A | Finger Lakes | 27- | 3 | 24 | 18 | ++ | 0.01 | 5.84 | |
4/23 | A | Broome | 20- | 1 | 19 | 23 | | 0.01 | -4.37 | |
4/25 | A | Jefferson | 23- | 17 | 6 | 7 | | 0.01 | -1.05 | |
4/29 | H | Monroe | 13- | 11 | 2 | 1 | | -0.01 | 0.64 | |
5/02 | A | Herkimer | 22- | 2 | 20 | 15 | ++ | 0.01 | 4.55 | |
5/03 | N | Monroe | 10- | 11 | -1 | 1 | | 0.00 | -2.35 | |
5/09 | N | Catonsville | 13- | 11 | 2 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.94 | |
5/10 | N | Monroe | 9- | 7 | 2 | 1 | | 0.00 | 0.65 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/31 | H | Cayuga | 22- | 1 | 1.70 |
4/07 | H | Erie | 22- | 4 | 7.56 |
4/11 | A | Herkimer | 18- | 3 | 0.45 |
4/15 | H | Broome | 27- | 1 | -2.61 |
4/17 | A | Nassau | 17- | 4 | -3.00 |
4/18 | A | Finger Lakes | 27- | 3 | -5.84 |
4/23 | A | Broome | 20- | 1 | 4.37 |
5/02 | A | Herkimer | 22- | 2 | -4.55 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.12 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 6.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 1 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 81.90 | | Local Power Rank | 1 |
| Local SOS Rating | 70.71 | | Local SOS Rank | 4 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.67 | | Local RPI Rank | 1 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 16 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 1 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 15-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 7-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | 2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 11-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | 7.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 15-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 11.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.0 |
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