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2009
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2005

St. John Fisher Cardinal (11-7)

Conference: Empire Eight

Region: New York

State: NY

Coach: Shannon McHale

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

#8 Tufts Wins High-Scoring Shootout over St. John Fisher

LANCASTER, Pa. – #8 Tufts hung on to a 20-18 win over St. John Fisher (11-7) in Saturday's NCAA Regional Semifinal. The victory advances the Jumbos (16-3) to Sunday's Region Final where they will face #2 Franklin & Marshall. Opening draw is set for 1:00 pm. [full story]

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Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score*			QWF
3/11	vs. Gettysburg # (16-4)	Centennial	87.3	4	L	15-	17	0.00
3/13	vs. Wesleyan (CT) # (6-9)	NESCAC	81.4		L	10-	13	0.00
3/24	at William Smith (11-4)	Liberty Leagu	85.8	14	L	7-	9	0.00
3/26	at Brockport (5-9)	SUNYAC	77.4		W	18-	11	0.00
3/28	at Lycoming (9-9)	Middle Atlant	76.2		W	17-	9	0.00
4/01	NAZARETH (9-8)	Empire Eight	78.1		L	13-	14	0.00
4/04	at Alfred (4-7)	Empire Eight	68.4		W	15-	5	0.00
4/05	ROCHESTER INST OF TECH (13-5)	Empire Eight	80.1		L	7-	8	0.00
4/10	at Ithaca (7-9)	Empire Eight	79.4		W	15-	9	0.00
4/11	at Elmira (6-11)	Empire Eight	69.7		W	18-	10	0.00
4/16	GENESEO (10-6)	SUNYAC	80.5		W	16-	5	0.00
4/18	at Stevens (17-2)	Empire Eight	84.2	15	L	14-	17	0.00
4/19	at Hartwick (2-13)	Empire Eight	68.0		W	18-	5	0.00
4/25	UTICA (8-6)	Empire Eight	78.4		W	17-	13	0.00
5/02	at Stevens (17-2)	Empire Eight	84.2	15	W	16-	12	-0.30
5/03	vs. Rochester Inst of Tech # (13-5)	Empire Eight	80.1		W	10-	9	0.00
5/06	WOOSTER (12-4)	North Coast	77.7		W	17-	12	0.00
5/09	vs. Tufts # (16-3)	NESCAC	85.6	7	L	18-	20	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			79.0					-0.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	N	Gettysburg	15-	17	-2	-4	+	0.00	2.24
3/13	N	Wesleyan (CT)	10-	13	-3	2	––	0.00	-4.57
3/24	A	William Smith	7-	9	-2	-5	+	1.77	2.79
3/26	A	Brockport	18-	11	7	4	+	1.77	3.32
3/28	A	Lycoming	17-	9	8	4	++	1.77	4.32
4/01	H	Nazareth	13-	14	-1	7	–––	-1.77	-8.00
4/04	A	Alfred	15-	5	10	12	–	1.77	-2.09
4/05	H	Rochester Inst of Tech	7-	8	-1	5	––	-1.77	-5.61
4/10	A	Ithaca	15-	9	6	2	++	1.77	4.08
4/11	A	Elmira	18-	10	8	12	––	1.77	-4.17
4/16	H	Geneseo	16-	5	11	4	+++	-1.77	6.84
4/18	A	Stevens	14-	17	-3	-3		1.77	-0.14
4/19	A	Hartwick	18-	5	13	14		1.77	-0.83
4/25	H	Utica	17-	13	4	6	–	-1.77	-2.11
5/02	A	Stevens	16-	12	4	-3	+++	1.77	6.86
5/03	N	Rochester Inst of Tech	10-	9	1	3		0.00	-1.84
5/06	H	Wooster	17-	12	5	7	–	-1.77	-2.05
5/09	N	Tufts	18-	20	-2	-3		0.00	0.96
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	A	Alfred	15-	5	2.09
4/16	H	Geneseo	16-	5	-1.00
4/19	A	Hartwick	18-	5	0.83
10-goal correction: 0.11

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	70.00	Local TSI Rank	20
Local Poll Vote	69.	Local Poll Rank	18
Local Power Rating	83.03	Local Power Rank	20
Local SOS Rating	78.83	Local SOS Rank	24
Local RPI Rating	0.60	Local RPI Rank	27
Local Trend Rating	1.00	Local Trend Rank	28
Local Quality Win Rating	-0.30	Local Quality Win Rank	20
Local Loss Rating	1.60	Local Loss Rank	52
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-7	Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-4	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3