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North Carolina Tar Heels (16-5)

Conference: Atlantic CoastRegion: SouthState: NCCoach: Jenny Levy

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

#1 Northwestern Routs UNC to Claim Fifth Straight Crown

TOWSON, Md. -- The Northwestern class of 2009 had pretty much done it all during their careers in Evanston. They had won three national championships, posting an 84-3 overall record in the process, and established themselves as one of the top classes in the history in the sport. But the one thing they hadn't done was go undefeated in a season.   [full story]  

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore* QWF
2/15at Vanderbilt (10-7)Amer. Lac. Co92.211W14-13ot-0.50  
2/20OREGON (12-5)MPSF84.9W15- 6 0.00  
2/22RICHMOND (6-12)Atlantic 1084.7W15- 8 0.00  
3/02NORTHWESTERN (23-0)Amer. Lac. Co99.91L7-12 0.00  
3/06at Penn (15-3)Ivy League93.62L2-11 0.00  
3/09at Denver (10-8)MPSF85.7W12- 6 0.00  
3/14VIRGINIA (11-8)Atlantic Coas92.810W12- 8 -0.55  
3/18OLD DOMINION (11-5)Colonial87.2W16- 9 0.00  
3/21GEORGETOWN (13-6)Big East91.59W12- 7 -0.60  
3/25at Virginia Tech (7-10)Atlantic Coas85.1W12- 8 0.00  
3/28BOSTON COLLEGE (9-9)Atlantic Coas87.3W12- 8 0.00  
4/03at Ohio State (11-6)Amer. Lac. Co90.516W10- 8 -0.25  
4/05PENN STATE (9-8)Amer. Lac. Co90.615W11- 7 -0.30  
4/11at Maryland (21-1)Atlantic Coas96.03L8-13 0.00  
4/17at Duke (15-6)Atlantic Coas94.95W9- 7 -0.80  
4/19STANFORD (14-4)MPSF90.613W13-10 -0.40  
4/24vs. Duke # (15-6)Atlantic Coas94.95L4-14 0.00  
5/10TOWSON (13-6)Colonial88.714W15- 4 -0.35  
5/16NOTRE DAME (16-5)Big East93.06W16-10 -0.75  
5/22vs. Maryland # (21-1)Atlantic Coas96.03W8- 7 -0.90  
5/24vs. Northwestern # (23-0)Amer. Lac. Co99.91L7-21 0.00  
* Click the score for the game story.
# Neutral site
 91.4     -5.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/15AVanderbilt14-131   -1       1.41       1.72
2/20HOregon15-69   10       -1.41       -0.72
2/22HRichmond15-87   10       -1.41       -2.67
3/02HNorthwestern7-12-5   -7       -1.41       1.55
3/06APenn2-11-9   -2       –––1.41       -6.71
3/09ADenver12-66   6       1.41       0.15
3/14HVirginia12-84   1       +-1.41       3.03
3/18HOld Dominion16-97   7       -1.41       -0.07
3/21HGeorgetown12-75   3       +-1.41       2.31
3/25AVirginia Tech12-84   7       1.41       -2.81
3/28HBoston College12-84   7       -1.41       -2.82
4/03AOhio State10-82   1       1.41       1.18
4/05HPenn State11-74   4       -1.41       0.06
4/11AMaryland8-13-5   -5       1.41       -0.15
4/17ADuke9-72   -4       ++1.41       5.75
4/19HStanford13-103   4       -1.41       -0.93
4/24NDuke4-14-10   -2       –––0.00       -7.66
5/10HTowson15-411   6       ++-1.41       5.41
5/16HNotre Dame16-106   1       ++-1.41       4.99
5/22NMaryland8-71   -3       ++0.00       4.44
5/24NNorthwestern7-21-14   -8       –––0.00       -6.04
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/24NDuke4-140.00
5/10HTowson15-4-1.00
5/24NNorthwestern7-214.00
10-goal correction: 0.14

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating-10.00   Local TSI Rank 3
Local Poll Vote 353.   Local Poll Rank 4
Local Power Rating 93.01   Local Power Rank 6
Local SOS Rating 90.64   Local SOS Rank 1
Local RPI Rating 0.70   Local RPI Rank 3
Local Trend Rating 2.00   Local Trend Rank 31
Local Quality Win Rating -5.40   Local Quality Win Rank 3
Local Loss Rating 1.00   Local Loss Rank 7
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-5   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -5.7
Wins/Losses (top 10) 5-5   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-5   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -2.3



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