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Fri Jun 26 19:13:07 EDT 2009


    The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
    Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
    predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for 
    all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
    average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
    ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown  
    under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this   
    means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the   
    games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.


    Regional          Average    No       Measuring (goals) how close the PR
     Team           Goal error Games      predicted actual goal difference 
                                        [0,1]  [1,2]  [2,3]  [3,4]  [4,5]    >5  

    WD1                 3.07     757     157    144    137     95     76    149
    WD2                 3.90     377      56     59     63     57     29    114
    WD3                 3.16    1358     277    265    234    184    124    276
    WJUCO               3.21     100      25     20     14     11      8     22
    WDIA                2.82     718     157    149    148     80     79    108

    TOTAL               3.09    3268     670    636    591    423    314    641

     total games...............  =   3268
     ave error (goals).........  =   3.09
     total upsets..............  =    370
     % of games within 1 goal..  =  20.50
     % of games within 2 goals.  =  39.96
     % of games within 3 goals.  =  58.05
     % of games within 4 goals.  =  70.99
     % of games within 5 goals.  =  80.60
     % of games    >   5 goals.  =  19.61

 


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