Fri Jun 26 19:13:07 EDT 2009
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat- ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the games, the power rating error was within 1 goal. Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 WD1 3.07 757 157 144 137 95 76 149 WD2 3.90 377 56 59 63 57 29 114 WD3 3.16 1358 277 265 234 184 124 276 WJUCO 3.21 100 25 20 14 11 8 22 WDIA 2.82 718 157 149 148 80 79 108 TOTAL 3.09 3268 670 636 591 423 314 641 total games............... = 3268 ave error (goals)......... = 3.09 total upsets.............. = 370 % of games within 1 goal.. = 20.50 % of games within 2 goals. = 39.96 % of games within 3 goals. = 58.05 % of games within 4 goals. = 70.99 % of games within 5 goals. = 80.60 % of games > 5 goals. = 19.61
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