Sun Aug 22 11:09:58 EDT 2010

The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power ratings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown under the columns [0,1] [1,2]. etc. The bracket [0,1], means the error was greater than or equal to 0.0 goals and less than or equal to 1.0 goals. The average goal error is equal to the sum of the error for all games divided by the total number of games. Note that an upset here is defined as a team with a lower PR defeating a team with a higher PR. This does not conform to the definition of an upset on the UPSET page where the power ratings must differ by a minimum of 2 goals. Region Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference [0,1] [1,2] [2,3] [3,4] [4,5] >5 AL 3.54 48 8 6 11 6 3 14 AR 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 AZ 1 2.81 115 26 29 17 7 16 20 AZ 2 3.85 62 7 7 15 10 4 19 CA North CIF 2.68 414 95 90 80 60 34 55 CA Club 3.35 211 35 49 40 22 23 43 CA Central CIF 2.80 257 47 62 54 37 24 33 CA Southern Sec CI 2.90 554 128 106 92 75 62 92 CA San Diego CIF 2.98 382 80 83 66 38 49 66 CO CHSAA 3.15 480 98 94 77 71 48 92 CT CIAC 3.19 725 159 125 122 102 65 152 Not used 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 DE 3.06 323 71 69 47 40 34 62 FL Central FHSAA 3.18 422 85 90 68 56 42 83 FL South FHSAA 3.90 239 50 39 41 25 26 58 FL Club 3.29 375 60 79 52 65 49 71 GA AAAAA 3.71 321 55 70 37 37 32 90 GA AAAA-AAA-AA-A 3.67 310 58 52 46 38 26 90 NY Sec 6 Indep 2.76 48 13 10 8 5 6 6 ID 3.06 157 27 32 32 24 15 27 IL A 3.27 312 66 59 53 39 33 62 IL B 3.57 287 54 50 42 27 42 72 IN 3.16 269 44 61 50 38 22 54 KS 3.44 34 4 8 5 7 2 8 KY 3.51 179 35 31 19 31 15 48 LA 3.45 95 17 21 15 9 12 21 ME 3.12 280 50 64 48 29 30 59 MD-Miaa-A/IAC 4.38 219 35 37 27 21 19 81 MD-Miaa-B 3.41 85 22 5 15 20 6 17 MD-Miaa-C 4.41 75 17 8 6 10 16 18 MD-Mil,MAC,WCAC 3.94 273 53 43 41 24 28 84 MD MPSSAA 4321 2.91 1046 229 215 186 129 103 185 MA East 2.80 1394 331 301 241 168 139 214 MA Cent 2.94 241 54 54 46 23 18 46 MA West 3.61 128 25 28 22 7 17 29 MI MHSAA 3.28 854 168 183 111 139 72 181 MI Club 4.54 147 25 20 17 15 21 51 IL Indep Club 2.69 101 26 22 16 11 12 15 MN MSHSL 2.91 375 93 69 65 41 37 70 MN MBSLA 3.34 168 29 33 32 22 17 35 MO 3.29 269 52 51 51 34 24 57 NB 3.54 77 17 12 10 11 8 19 NE/East,North,ISL 2.92 409 103 86 52 64 35 70 NE/West I 3.65 132 33 17 16 16 17 33 NE/West II/III 3.81 223 44 39 35 30 27 48 NH I/II/III 3.38 376 73 60 66 52 42 83 NJ 2.88 1606 349 326 283 237 171 240 NV 3.92 148 22 26 23 27 10 40 NM 1.08 8 6 1 1 0 0 0 NY-NYC Metro 3.45 215 40 46 32 28 17 52 NY-Nas-Suf Catholi 3.38 174 29 34 23 30 23 35 NY-Sect 1 3.09 432 87 85 70 61 52 77 NY-Sect 2 3.08 237 60 38 38 32 22 47 NY-Sect 3 3.24 362 64 76 56 62 30 74 NY-Sect 4 3.41 159 24 33 30 20 12 40 NY-Sect 5 3.33 334 62 63 53 42 35 79 NY-Sect 6 3.24 295 54 55 61 31 31 63 NY-Sect 8 2.79 429 105 86 79 61 40 59 NY-Sect 9 2.90 158 37 32 26 20 11 32 NY-Sect 10 4.01 83 12 24 17 7 8 15 NY-Sect 11 3.15 404 92 73 63 48 47 81 NC Pub 3.11 535 134 90 91 66 55 99 NC Pri 4.09 166 27 24 31 16 14 54 NC Club 3.60 58 17 9 6 6 3 18 ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 OH I 3.12 840 190 162 123 125 89 151 OHSSA 3.83 727 149 127 106 86 66 194 OH IIIA 6.59 222 19 22 19 18 10 134 OH Club 3.79 235 46 28 44 32 20 65 OK 2.75 22 7 5 3 0 3 4 OR 3.01 401 82 85 70 53 36 77 PA PSLA 2.96 783 178 160 134 94 72 145 PA Independent 3.26 269 51 55 42 41 26 54 PA West 3.36 298 58 62 40 42 29 67 PA Central 3.15 475 111 87 76 67 36 99 Rhode Island 2.90 167 30 43 31 20 14 29 SC 2.87 199 46 42 38 21 20 32 TN D1 3.46 112 22 20 14 16 10 30 TN D2 3.39 150 25 28 20 27 18 32 TX 1 3.20 274 60 53 39 33 28 62 TX 2 3.06 339 67 88 46 39 29 70 UT 2.89 290 63 66 47 35 25 54 VT I 3.66 128 30 22 18 20 7 31 VT II 3.82 154 31 25 23 23 13 41 VA Northern AAA 3.56 249 55 48 40 32 19 57 VA/Northwest AAA 3.40 178 35 29 30 26 14 44 VA Private I 5.94 167 25 16 20 11 13 82 VA II-III Indep AA 5.14 150 29 12 20 14 7 69 VA VSHL AA 3.25 210 48 36 34 33 18 42 VA Non VSHL Club 3.45 246 58 45 30 36 24 53 WA I 3.07 194 36 45 33 26 25 29 WA II 2.97 219 48 44 39 26 21 41 WI 3.29 227 44 44 43 27 16 53 VA Priv III 5.01 91 11 12 15 11 4 38 CANADA East 2.39 322 101 76 59 30 17 39 WV 4.72 90 14 11 8 16 12 29 MD Charles Co Club 2.09 33 11 9 8 1 1 3 CANADA West 3.85 69 13 10 13 10 5 19 Hawaii 2.67 23 4 11 1 1 0 6 TOTAL 3.08 25339 5474 5113 4218 3351 2443 4765 total games............... = 25339 ave error (goals)......... = 3.08 total upsets.............. = 2551 % of games within 1 goal.. = 21.60 % of games within 2 goals. = 41.78 % of games within 3 goals. = 58.43 % of games within 4 goals. = 71.65 % of games within 5 goals. = 81.29 % of games > 5 goals. = 18.81
Create a free lacrosse website