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Hartford Hawks

(4-10)

Conference:: America East
Region:: Northeast
State:: CT
Coach:: Peter Lawrence

UMBC Rallies Late Four-Down to Defeat Hartford in AE Semis

Joe Lustgarten (Wading River, N.Y./Shoreham-Wading River) capped a furious UMBC rally with the game-winning score with 55 seconds remaining and added an insurance marker 21 seconds later as No. 3 UMBC defeated No. 2 Hartford, 15-13, in the America East semifinals at Stony Brook's LaValle Stadium. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/20	A	Massachusetts	10 –	20	-10	-4	––	1.23	-5.30
02/27	H	Delaware	9 –	11	-2	-3		-1.23	1.14
03/06	N	Siena	13 –	11	2	-1	+	0.00	3.27
03/10	A	Brown	12 –	13	-1	-4	+	1.23	3.86
03/13	H	Bellarmine	7 –	8	-1	1	–	-1.23	-2.43
03/17	H	Holy Cross	10 –	6	4	0	+	-1.23	3.20
03/27	A	Sacred Heart	6 –	7	-1	0		1.23	-1.36
03/31	H	Albany	10 –	11	-1	0		-1.23	-1.60
04/03	H	Quinnipiac	10 –	9	1	0		-1.23	1.54
04/10	A	Stony Brook	12 –	15	-3	-6	+	1.23	3.31
04/13	A	Fairfield	9 –	12	-3	-4		1.23	1.18
04/17	H	Vermont	6 –	13	-7	1	–––	-1.23	-8.68
04/24	H	Binghamton	12 –	13	-1	1	–	-1.23	-2.55
05/01	A	UMBC	14 –	12	2	-2	++	1.23	4.43
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 140.00
TSI Rank: 48
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 32
Power Rating: 90.16
Power Rank: 45
SOS Rating: 91.75
SOS Rank: 40
RPI Rating: 0.42
RPI Rank: 51
Trend Rating: 4.00
Trend Rank: 44
Quality Win Rating: 0.00
Quality Win Rank: 42
W-L Pct Rating: 28.57
W-L Pct Rank: 48

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 4-10
Ave Goal diff (all ): -1.5
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 0
Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -3.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -2.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -2.0