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Limestone Saints

(12-2)

Conference:: Carolinas
Region:: South
State:: SC
Coach:: Mike Cerino

No. 1 Mercyhurst Rallies Late, Nips No. 2 Limestone in Overtime

ERIE, Pa.- For the second time in three years, Mercyhurst will play for the NCAA Championship. The tale of how the Lakers advanced to the title game will echo throughout Tullio Field for years to come. Deven Alves scored with 2:56 left in overtime, giving #1 Mercyhurst an 18-17 win over #2 Limestone in a classic semifinal game on Saturday afternoon. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/20	H	Wingate	15 –	2	13	11		-1.30	1.54
02/26	H	Florida Southern	16 –	5	11	7	+	-1.30	3.41
03/07	N	Le Moyne	6 –	8	-2	0		0.00	-1.47
03/13	H	Mars Hill	10 –	9	1	3	–	-1.30	-2.88
03/18	H	Lees-McRae	17 –	1	16	12	+	-1.30	3.11
03/27	H	Saint Leo	17 –	4	13	3	+++	-1.30	9.16
03/31	A	Queens U. of Charlotte	15 –	10	5	2	+	1.30	2.42
04/03	A	St. Andrews	18 –	5	13	8	++	1.30	4.38
04/10	A	Belmont Abbey	13 –	10	3	3		1.30	-0.44
04/17	H	Pfeiffer	9 –	5	4	8	––	-1.30	-4.59
04/23	N	Pfeiffer	10 –	4	6	7		0.00	-1.29
04/25	N	Belmont Abbey	10 –	9	1	4	–	0.00	-3.74
05/01	A	Catawba	16 –	7	9	4	++	1.30	4.20
05/22	A	Le Moyne	7 –	11	-4	-1	–	1.30	-2.17
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 11.00
TSI Rank: 4
Poll Vote: 1
Poll Rank: 5
Power Rating: 89.86
Power Rank: 5
SOS Rating: 84.43
SOS Rank: 9
RPI Rating: 0.63
RPI Rank: 3
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 4
Quality Win Rating: 0.39
Quality Win Rank: 9
W-L Pct Rating: 85.71
W-L Pct Rank: 5

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 12- 2
Ave Goal diff (all ): 6.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -3.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 2- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 3.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 6- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 4.5
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 2.0