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Lake Erie Storm

(3-11)

Conference:: East Coast
Region:: North
State:: OH
Coach:: Greg Stocks

#1 Mercyhurst Escapes Lake Erie in OT to Move to Semifinals

ERIE, Pa.- Brady Heseltine scored with 1:47 left in overtime, lifting #1 Mercyhurst to a 10-9 win over #9 Lake Erie in an NCAA tournament quarterfinal Saturday afternoon. The Lakers rallied from a 9-7 fourth-quarter deficit to survive and advance. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/27	A	Lees-McRae	4 –	8	-4	-4		1.30	0.17
03/06	A	NYIT	3 –	22	-19	-13	––	1.30	-5.16
03/11	N	Otterbein	8 –	4	4	2		0.00
03/20	A	Dominican C.	7 –	14	-7	-8		1.30	1.19
03/24	H	Wheeling Jesuit	8 –	9	-1	-3	+	-1.30	2.55
04/01	H	Chestnut Hill	11 –	9	2	1		-1.30	0.31
04/09	H	Walsh	20 –	4	16	3	+++	-1.23
04/11	H	Pfeiffer	7 –	14	-7	-5		-1.30	-1.12
04/17	A	Dowling	6 –	20	-14	-16	+	1.30	2.56
04/21	A	Mercyhurst	3 –	17	-14	-17	+	1.30	3.80
04/28	H	Seton Hill	5 –	13	-8	-9		-1.30	1.09
05/01	H	Molloy	3 –	13	-10	-5	––	-1.30	-4.72
05/08	A	Mercy	9 –	14	-5	-5		1.30	0.53
05/09	A	C.W. Post	4 –	26	-22	-16	––	1.30	-5.57
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 105.00
TSI Rank: 33
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 22
Power Rating: 75.40
Power Rank: 35
SOS Rating: 82.31
SOS Rank: 31
RPI Rating: 0.39
RPI Rank: 34
Trend Rating: 5.00
Trend Rank: 35
Quality Win Rating: 0.00
Quality Win Rank: 23
W-L Pct Rating: 21.43
W-L Pct Rank: 36

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 3-11
Ave Goal diff (all ): -6.4
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -16.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -17.2
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -12.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -12.3