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Lynchburg Hornets

(13-5)

Conference:: Old Dominion
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Steve Koudelka

Fourth-Ranked Stevenson Tops Lynchburg to Reach Semifinals

OWINGS MILLS, Md. - For the fourth time in the last five years, Stevenson has advanced to the semifinals of the NCAA Division III Men's Lacrosse Championship. The fourth-ranked Mustangs got four points from Peter Green en route to a 13-7 victory over No. 13 Lynchburg Wednesday night. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/20	A	Salisbury	9 –	14	-5	-4		1.35	-0.97
02/27	A	Ohio Wesleyan	10 –	13	-3	0	–	1.35	-3.44
03/06	H	Mount St. Joseph	17 –	2	15	15		-1.35	-0.01
03/10	H	Swarthmore	12 –	7	5	6		-1.35	-1.93
03/13	A	Stevens	16 –	10	6	0	++	1.35	5.14
03/17	H	Scranton	16 –	4	12	8	+	-1.35	3.77
03/20	H	Stevenson	9 –	12	-3	-2		-1.35	-0.38
03/24	A	Randolph	17 –	1	16	18	–	1.35	-2.47
03/27	H	Christopher Newport	17 –	2	15	12	+	-1.35	2.24
03/31	A	Roanoke	7 –	15	-8	-4	–	1.35	-3.48
04/03	A	Hampden-Sydney	19 –	10	9	0	+++	1.35	8.40
04/07	H	Randolph-Macon	13 –	11	2	7	––	-1.35	-5.75
04/10	H	Guilford	20 –	4	16	18	–	-1.35	-2.96
04/14	A	Greensboro	10 –	3	7	7		1.35	-0.52
04/17	A	Virginia Wesleyan	14 –	7	7	5		1.35	1.66
04/24	H	Washington & Lee	13 –	10	3	3		-1.35	-0.69
05/02	H	Hampden-Sydney	10 –	7	3	3		-1.35	-0.31
05/09	A	Roanoke	8 –	12	-4	-4		1.35	0.52
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 53.00
TSI Rank: 15
Poll Vote: 1
Poll Rank: 9
Power Rating: 90.93
Power Rank: 9
SOS Rating: 85.70
SOS Rank: 39
RPI Rating: 0.61
RPI Rank: 16
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 19
Quality Win Rating: 0.00
Quality Win Rank: 88
W-L Pct Rating: 72.22
W-L Pct Rank: 21

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 13- 5
Ave Goal diff (all ): 5.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -5.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -5.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 0- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -4.6
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 0.7