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Amherst Lady Jeffs

(11-5)

Conference:: NESCAC
Region:: New England
State:: MA
Coach:: Christine Paradis

Colby Beats Amherst in NESCAC Quarterfinals

WATERVILLE, Maine -- Michelle Burt (Woodbridge, Conn.) made 12 saves and Lindsey McKenna (Fairfield, Conn.) scored at least 40 goals for the third time in three years to lead fourth-seeded Colby to an 11-3 win over fifth-seeded Amherst in a NESCAC quarterfinal game Saturday at Bill Alfond Field. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
03/13	A	Tufts	11 –	8	3	-3	+++	1.01	6.12
03/16	N	Manhattanville	19 –	3	16	17		0.00	-1.77
03/18	N	Messiah	6 –	11	-5	2	–––	0.00	-7.22
03/24	H	Connecticut College	9 –	7	2	4	–	-1.01	-2.01
03/27	A	Bowdoin	3 –	11	-8	-2	––	1.01	-5.52
03/30	A	Springfield	8 –	6	2	2		1.01	-0.64
04/03	H	Bates	8 –	7	1	1		-1.01	-0.64
04/08	H	Wheaton	13 –	5	8	8		-1.01	-0.56
04/10	A	Williams	8 –	9	-1	-2		1.01	1.05
04/15	H	Middlebury	8 –	5	3	-1	++	-1.01	4.49
04/17	A	Colby	4 –	9	-5	-2	–	1.01	-2.16
04/20	A	Skidmore	13 –	7	6	3	+	1.01	2.35
04/24	H	Wesleyan (CT)	10 –	9	1	4	–	-1.01	-3.03
04/30	H	Trinity (CT)	5 –	4	1	-2	+	-1.01	3.84
05/02	H	Tufts	11 –	9	2	-1	+	-1.01	3.09
05/08	N	Colby	7 –	8	-1	-1		0.00	0.83
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 43.00
TSI Rank: 16
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 14
Power Rating: 83.35
Power Rank: 17
SOS Rating: 81.74
SOS Rank: 10
RPI Rating: 0.61
RPI Rank: 24
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 6
Quality Win Rating: 1.31
Quality Win Rank: 13
W-L Pct Rating: 68.75
W-L Pct Rank: 80

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 11- 5
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.6
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 0
Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -1.7
Wins/Losses(top 20): 4- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -0.8
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 0.7