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North Carolina Tar Heels

(17-3)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: NC
Coach:: Jenny Levy

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/14	H	Denver	18 –	7	11	10		-1.37	0.57
02/19	H	Vanderbilt	12 –	6	6	6		-1.37	-0.60
02/21	A	Richmond	19 –	7	12	10		1.37	1.35
02/26	H	Oregon	22 –	5	17	15		-1.37	1.61
02/28	H	Florida	18 –	5	13	9	+	-1.37	3.63
03/06	H	Penn	11 –	6	5	5		-1.37	-0.91
03/13	A	Virginia	12 –	13	-1	3	––	1.37	-4.30
03/20	A	Georgetown	13 –	6	7	4	+	1.37	2.90
03/27	A	Boston College	15 –	6	9	7		1.37	1.82
04/02	H	Virginia Tech	19 –	3	16	16		-1.37	-0.18
04/04	A	Old Dominion	16 –	2	14	13		1.37	0.17
04/10	H	Maryland	13 –	9	4	1	+	-1.37	2.45
04/14	H	Duke	9 –	6	3	5	–	-1.37	-2.55
04/18	A	Northwestern	18 –	16	2	-1	+	1.37	3.50
04/23	N	Duke	14 –	4	10	4	++	0.00	5.82
04/25	A	Maryland	5 –	10	-5	-1	–	1.37	-3.81
05/08	N	Cornell	13 –	7	6	10	––	0.00	-4.07
05/15	H	Navy	18 –	5	13	13		-1.37	-0.39
05/22	H	Virginia	17 –	7	10	6	+	-1.37	3.96
05/28	N	Northwestern	10 –	15	-5	0	––	0.00	-4.87
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: -15.00
TSI Rank: 3
Poll Vote: 1
Poll Rank: 3
Power Rating: 99.77
Power Rank: 2
SOS Rating: 92.93
SOS Rank: 2
RPI Rating: 0.71
RPI Rank: 3
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 32
Quality Win Rating: 6.13
Quality Win Rank: 3
W-L Pct Rating: 85.00
W-L Pct Rank: 4

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 17- 3
Ave Goal diff (all ): 7.3
Wins/Losses(top 5): 4- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 5): 1.5
Wins/Losses(top 10): 8- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 3.3
Wins/Losses(top 20): 9- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 3.9
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 6.0