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Virginia Cavaliers

(14-6)

Conference:: Atlantic Coast
Region:: South
State:: VA
Coach:: Julie Myers

Third-Ranked UNC Defeats No. 12 UVa to Move to Semifinals

CHAPEL HILL – Third-seeded North Carolina scored three times in the first minute of the game, pouncing on unseeded Virginia and winning, 13-9, in the NCAA Tournament quarterfinals on Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. With the victory, Carolina (16-3) advances to the NCAA semifinals for the fourth time in the last five seasons. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/20	H	Loyola	11 –	15	-4	3	–––	-1.37	-7.10
02/24	H	Richmond	17 –	8	9	8		-1.37	0.28
02/27	H	Syracuse	14 –	13	1	1		-1.37	-0.21
03/05	A	Maryland	5 –	11	-6	-5		1.37	-0.15
03/07	A	Penn State	13 –	8	5	1	+	1.37	3.31
03/13	H	North Carolina	13 –	12	1	-3	++	-1.37	4.30
03/17	A	William & Mary	14 –	7	7	3	+	1.37	3.02
03/20	A	Princeton	14 –	7	7	2	++	1.37	4.07
03/24	H	James Madison	9 –	10	-1	2	–	-1.37	-3.14
03/27	A	Duke	8 –	7	1	-1	+	1.37	2.86
03/31	H	Old Dominion	22 –	7	15	11	+	-1.37	3.10
04/03	H	Boston College	12 –	6	6	5		-1.37	0.75
04/05	H	Harvard	14 –	9	5	6		-1.37	-1.53
04/07	A	Virginia Tech	20 –	14	6	8	–	1.37	-2.78
04/13	H	George Mason	17 –	8	9	12	–	-1.37	-3.93
04/22	N	Virginia Tech	18 –	6	12	10		0.00	1.86
04/23	A	Maryland	6 –	10	-4	-5		1.37	1.85
04/30	A	Northwestern	8 –	11	-3	-6	+	1.37	3.17
05/16	H	Towson	14 –	12	2	2		-1.37	-0.82
05/22	A	North Carolina	7 –	17	-10	-6	–	1.37	-3.96
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 0.00
TSI Rank: 5
Poll Vote: 1
Poll Rank: 6
Power Rating: 95.10
Power Rank: 7
SOS Rating: 92.51
SOS Rank: 4
RPI Rating: 0.65
RPI Rank: 5
Trend Rating: 3.00
Trend Rank: 62
Quality Win Rating: 3.14
Quality Win Rank: 4
W-L Pct Rating: 70.00
W-L Pct Rank: 15

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 14- 6
Ave Goal diff (all ): 2.9
Wins/Losses(top 5): 3- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -2.9
Wins/Losses(top 10): 3- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -2.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 5- 6
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -1.6
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -3.7