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Chapman Panthers

(15-4)

Conference:: SLC 1 North
State:: CA
Coach:: Dallas Hartley

No. 1 Colorado State Rallies, Escapes No. 5 Chapman in 3OT

Loveland, CO – Trailing the 5th-ranked Chapman Panthers by two goals, the #1 Colorado State Rams rallied to tie the game in the last four minutes and Sean Smith (Amherst HS/Amherst, NY) stuck the game-winner with 2:43 remaining in the third overtime period to get a key out of conference victory on a cold night at the Loveland Sports Park. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/12	A	San Diego	10 –	5	5	4		1.92	0.19
02/19	H	Cal Poly - SLO	11 –	10	1	3	–	-1.92	-2.12
02/25	H	UCLA	11 –	2	9	12		-1.92	-1.00
02/27	H	Oregon	9 –	5	4	5		-1.92	-1.08
03/05	H	Michigan	8 –	11	-3	-1		-1.92	-1.99
03/10	A	San Diego State	13 –	1	12	8		1.92	1.97
03/15	H	Arizona	14 –	3	11	8		-1.92	1.67
03/25	A	Utah	10 –	9	1	2		1.92	-1.53
03/26	A	Brigham Young	12 –	14	-2	-2		1.92	0.28
04/02	H	USC	1 –	0
04/03	A	Loyola Marymount	14 –	8	6	6		1.92	-0.35
04/09	A	Colorado	13 –	12	1	0		1.92	0.99
04/11	A	Colorado State	9 –	11	-2	-2		1.92	0.68
04/16	A	Claremont	20 –	3	17	9		1.92	0.40
04/23	H	UC Santa Barbara	16 –	5	11	5	++	-1.92	4.61
05/06	N	San Diego	8 –	5	3	6	–	0.00	-3.73
05/08	N	Arizona State	11 –	9	2	-1	+	0.00	3.80
05/17	N	Texas	14 –	9	5	2	+	0.00	2.84
05/18	N	Arizona State	3 –	8	-5	-1	–	0.00	-3.20
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: -6.90
TSI Rank: 5
Poll Vote: 629
Poll Rank: 5
Power Rating: 86.97
Power Rank: 5
SOS Rating: 82.66
SOS Rank: 5
RPI Rating: 0.63
RPI Rank: 7
Trend Rating: 1.00
Trend Rank: 4
Quality Win Rating: 4.70
Quality Win Rank: 5
W-L Pct Rating: 78.95
W-L Pct Rank: 9

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 15- 4
Ave Goal diff (all ): 4.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -2.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 3- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -0.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 8- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 2.0
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 0.7