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Hartford Hawks

(11-7)

Conference:: America East
Region:: Northeast
State:: CT
Coach:: Peter Lawrence

UMBC Rallies Late Four-Down to Defeat Hartford in AE Semis

Joe Lustgarten (Wading River, N.Y./Shoreham-Wading River) capped a furious UMBC rally with the game-winning score with 55 seconds remaining and added an insurance marker 21 seconds later as No. 3 UMBC defeated No. 2 Hartford, 15-13, in the America East semifinals at Stony Brook's LaValle Stadium. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/19	H	Massachusetts	10 –	14	-4	0	––	-1.31	-4.57
02/26	A	Holy Cross	12 –	7	5	5		1.31	-0.09
03/05	A	Siena	9 –	10	-1	-1		1.31	0.06
03/09	H	Brown	8 –	6	2	2		-1.31	-0.07
03/13	H	Bellarmine	14 –	9	5	4		-1.31	0.34
03/16	A	Bucknell	6 –	7	-1	-3	+	1.31	2.43
03/19	A	Quinnipiac	10 –	9	1	0		1.31	0.15
03/23	H	Sacred Heart	14 –	8	6	5		-1.31	0.50
03/26	A	Wagner	13 –	6	7	9	–	1.31	-2.44
03/30	A	Albany	9 –	8	1	0		1.31	0.53
04/09	H	Stony Brook	8 –	10	-2	-1		-1.31	-0.66
04/12	H	Fairfield	9 –	10	-1	1	–	-1.31	-2.28
04/16	A	Vermont	12 –	8	4	0	++	1.31	4.90
04/23	A	Binghamton	8 –	10	-2	0	–	1.31	-2.44
04/30	H	UMBC	10 –	6	4	3		-1.31	0.23
05/04	H	UMBC	14 –	11	3	3		-1.31	-0.77
05/07	A	Stony Brook	11 –	10	1	-3	++	1.31	4.96
05/14	A	Cornell	5 –	12	-7	-6		1.31	-0.77
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 94.82
TSI Rank: 31
Poll Vote: 24
Poll Rank: 19
Power Rating: 94.98
Power Rank: 28
SOS Rating: 93.67
SOS Rank: 40
RPI Rating: 0.53
RPI Rank: 24
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 17
Quality Win Rating: 0.18
Quality Win Rank: 30
W-L Pct Rating: 61.11
W-L Pct Rank: 21

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 11- 7
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -7.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 0- 2
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -4.0
Wins/Losses(top 20): 1- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -2.3
Wins/Losses(last 3): 2- 1
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -1.0