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Nazareth Golden Flyers

(11-7)

Conference:: Empire 8
Region:: North
State:: NY
Coach:: Rob Randall

Golden Flyers Grounded by Western New England in NCAAs

ROCHESTER, N.Y. -- Western New England used a seven-goal scoring spree that bridged the second and third quarters Saturday to surge past ninth-ranked Nazareth, 15-12, in a second-round NCAA Division III Tournament game at Golden Flyer Stadium. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/26	A	Springfield	8 –	11	-3	-1		1.34	-1.06
03/05	H	Geneseo	14 –	9	5	1	+	-1.34	3.18
03/09	H	Scranton	15 –	9	6	4		-1.34	1.76
03/14	N	Western New England	17 –	5	12	0	+++	0.00	10.57
03/16	N	Bowdoin	5 –	21	-16	-2	–––	0.00	-7.85
03/26	N	St. Lawrence	9 –	4	5	2	+	0.00	2.62
03/30	A	Alfred	13 –	9	4	3		1.34	0.47
04/02	H	Elmira	13 –	7	6	6		-1.34	-0.96
04/06	H	Utica	21 –	2	19	11		-1.34	0.00
04/09	A	Hartwick	11 –	4	7	3	+	1.34	3.14
04/11	H	Cortland	6 –	15	-9	-6	–	-1.34	-2.57
04/16	H	Ithaca	6 –	5	1	1		-1.34	-0.23
04/20	A	St. John Fisher	10 –	9	1	-3	++	1.34	4.32
04/23	H	Stevens	6 –	19	-13	-3	–––	-1.34	-6.37
04/30	A	RIT	5 –	13	-8	-5	–	1.34	-2.41
05/06	A	Stevens	13 –	12	1	-6	+++	1.34	7.30
05/08	A	RIT	10 –	24	-14	-5	––	1.34	-4.41
05/11	H	Union	7 –	15	-8	0	–––	-1.34	-7.45
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 56.61
TSI Rank: 14
Poll Vote: 0
Poll Rank: 117
Power Rating: 87.11
Power Rank: 29
SOS Rating: 87.21
SOS Rank: 6
RPI Rating: 0.62
RPI Rank: 17
Trend Rating: 4.00
Trend Rank: 139
Quality Win Rating: 0.79
Quality Win Rank: 12
W-L Pct Rating: 61.11
W-L Pct Rank: 58

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 11- 7
Ave Goal diff (all ): -0.2
Wins/Losses(top 5): 0- 3
Ave Goal diff (top 5): -10.3
Wins/Losses(top 10): 1- 4
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -8.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 2- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -6.7
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -7.0