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North Carolina Tar Heels

(10-6)

Conference:: ACC
Region:: Southeast
State:: NC
Coach:: Joe Breschi

#1 UNC Uses Q2 Surge to Power Past Lehigh in NCAA Opener

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. - Top-ranked North Carolina overcame a slow start to race past 10th-ranked Lehigh 16-7 in the first round of the NCAA tournament Saturday afternoon at Fetzer Field. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/12	H	Robert Morris	14 –	11	3	3		-1.31	-0.48
02/19	A	Ohio State	8 –	13	-5	0	––	1.31	-5.28
02/25	H	Navy	10 –	8	2	4	–	-1.31	-2.21
03/05	H	UMBC	13 –	9	4	6	–	-1.31	-2.18
03/08	H	Penn	12 –	6	6	2	+	-1.31	3.20
03/11	A	Princeton	9 –	5	4	0	+	1.31	3.78
03/17	H	Duke	9 –	14	-5	0	––	-1.31	-5.49
03/22	H	Dartmouth	12 –	7	5	5		-1.31	-0.69
03/26	A	Maryland	11 –	6	5	-3	+++	1.31	8.12
04/03	N	Johns Hopkins	9 –	10	-1	-1		0.00	0.90
04/09	A	Virginia	10 –	11	-1	-3	+	1.31	2.16
04/14	H	Presbyterian	15 –	5	10	12		-1.31	0.00
04/17	A	Lehigh	15 –	8	7	1	++	1.31	5.44
04/22	N	Maryland	6 –	7	-1	-1		0.00	0.81
05/06	H	Notre Dame	9 –	8	1	0		-1.31	1.07
05/15	H	Maryland	6 –	13	-7	0	–––	-1.31	-6.50
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: 13.80
TSI Rank: 9
Poll Vote: 110
Poll Rank: 9
Power Rating: 97.39
Power Rank: 10
SOS Rating: 96.03
SOS Rank: 4
RPI Rating: 0.58
RPI Rank: 10
Trend Rating: 2.00
Trend Rank: 23
Quality Win Rating: 1.60
Quality Win Rank: 10
W-L Pct Rating: 62.50
W-L Pct Rank: 18

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 10- 6
Ave Goal diff (all ): 1.7
Wins/Losses(top 5): 1- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): 0.0
Wins/Losses(top 10): 2- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 10): -1.3
Wins/Losses(top 20): 3- 5
Ave Goal diff (top 20): -0.4
Wins/Losses(last 3): 1- 2
Ave Goal diff (last 3): -2.3