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Northwestern Wildcats

(21-2)

Conference:: Amer. Lac. Conf
Region:: West/Midwest
State:: IL
Coach:: Kelly Amonte-Hiller

No. 2 'Cats Pound Penn State and Punch Ticket to Philadelphia

EVANSTON, Ill. -- By working its way to a 5-0 lead and holding its opponent without a shot for the first 17 minutes of the game, No. 2 Northwestern set the tone for what turned into a convincing 15-7 win over No. 7 Penn State in the NCAA quarterfinals in front of over 1,100 fans Saturday night. [full story]

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Predicted goals based on Total Rating.
					Goal Differential
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L
02/19	A	Notre Dame	14 –	11	3	4		0.94	-1.57
02/25	A	North Carolina	7 –	6	1	0		0.94	0.38
02/27	A	Vanderbilt	17 –	6	11	5	++	0.94	5.00
03/03	A	Navy	18 –	8	10	8		0.94	1.32
03/05	A	Georgetown	24 –	15	9	5	+	0.94	3.72
03/11	H	California	19 –	8	11	12		-0.94	0.00
03/19	N	William & Mary	18 –	8	10	7	+	0.00	2.90
03/23	H	Syracuse	16 –	11	5	6		-0.94	-1.15
03/26	A	Massachusetts	17 –	7	10	5	++	0.94	4.41
04/02	H	Duke	12 –	10	2	3		-0.94	-1.39
04/08	H	Penn State	14 –	5	9	7		-0.94	1.97
04/10	H	Penn	14 –	10	4	6	–	-0.94	-2.33
04/14	A	Florida	11 –	13	-2	1	–	0.94	-3.82
04/16	A	Johns Hopkins	11 –	12	-1	5	–––	0.94	-6.63
04/22	H	Ohio State	14 –	11	3	5	–	-0.94	-2.67
04/24	H	Stanford	12 –	11	1	4	–	-0.94	-3.73
04/30	A	Virginia	8 –	4	4	4		0.94	-0.86
05/06	N	Penn State	14 –	3	11	6	+	0.00	3.91
05/07	N	Florida	10 –	9	1	2		0.00	-1.76
05/14	H	Boston College	11 –	8	3	5	–	-0.94	-2.95
05/21	H	Albany	18 –	4	14	6	+	-0.94	3.82
05/27	N	North Carolina	11 –	10	1	1		0.00	-0.56
05/29	N	Maryland	8 –	7	1	-1	+	0.00	2.00
									0.00

Local Rating

TSI Rating: -23.59
TSI Rank: 1
Poll Vote: 399
Poll Rank: 1
Power Rating: 98.90
Power Rank: 2
SOS Rating: 93.81
SOS Rank: 1
RPI Rating: 0.73
RPI Rank: 1
Trend Rating: 0.00
Trend Rank: 2
Quality Win Rating: 8.19
Quality Win Rank: 1
W-L Pct Rating: 91.30
W-L Pct Rank: 3

Local Performance

Wins/Losses(all ): 21- 2
Ave Goal diff (all ): 5.3
Wins/Losses(top 5): 5- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 5): 0.7
Wins/Losses(top 10): 8- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 10): 2.6
Wins/Losses(top 20): 16- 1
Ave Goal diff (top 20): 4.5
Wins/Losses(last 3): 3- 0
Ave Goal diff (last 3): 5.3